Angola Autos Report

Published 19 May 2015

  • 50 pages
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$1,295.00
Angola Autos Report

Passenger car sales in Angola increased 37.8% in 2014, to 39,938 units, due to strong private consumption in the country. We expect this positive growth story to continue, and forecast a 10% increase in passenger car sales in 2015. We expect inflation to moderate somewhat over the year, and access to credit for many Angolans to improve, which should continue to boost car sales. Further, we expect the exchange rate to remain relatively steady, which should help to stabilise the cost of imported vehicles into the country and further boost sales.

As with many emerging markets, the used-car segment is far more substantial than the new car market. We expect this to remain the case for some time in Angola, as new cars remain unaffordable for most people.

In spite of the small size of the market, a large number of foreign brands are already doing business, with competition rife in the passenger car segment. Japan's Toyota Motor reportedly dominates the passenger car segment. The lower end of the market is dominated by Chinese firms such as Dongfeng- Nissan, a joint venture between China's Dongfeng Motors and Japan's Nissan Motor, which has been operating in Angola since 2006. In addition to these brands, German companies such as Volkswagen, BMW and Mercedes-Benz have maintained a strong presence in the Angolan autos market.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Political
9
Economic
10
Operational Risk
11
Industry Forecast
13
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Angola 2013-2019)
13
Macroeconomic Forecasts
16
Economic Analysis
16
Table: Economic Activity (Angola 2010-2019)
20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
21
Africa - Risk/Reward Index
21
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Risk/Reward Index
23
Competitive Landscape
25
Company Profile
27
Company Monitor
27
MEA A Good Starting Point
28
Key Markets Also Bring Challenges
29
Nissan Angola
32
Volkswagen Angola
34
Regional Overview
35
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Production Investment
35
Global Industry Overview
37
Table: Passenger Car Sales March (CBUs)
37
US Slowdown A Temporary Glitch-
37
Europe Recovery Will Be Steady
39
Asia Carries The BRIC States
40
Demographic Forecast
42
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Angola 1990-2025)
43
Table: Key Population Ratios (Angola 1990-2025)
43
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Angola 1990-2025)
44
Table: Population By Age Group (Angola 1990-2025)
44
Table: Population By Age Group % (Angola 1990-2025)
45
Methodology
47
Industry Forecasts
47
Sector-Specific Methodology
48
Sources
48
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
49
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
50

The Angola Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

BMI Research's Angola Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Angola.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Angola to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Angolan automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Angolan automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Angola.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the autos sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end- 2019 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Sales and production of motorcycles in units; total production of units; production by vehicle type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total vehicle fleet size in units; sales by vehicle type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles; fleet size by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicles and motorcycles; total vehicle trade balance in units; vehicle trade balance by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle; car ownership measured as car density per 1,000 people.

BMI’s Autos Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each indices explained.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2019 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company  developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country  investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Sources

The Autos reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as manufacturing associations, statistical bureaus, government transport ministries, national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc