Argentina Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Argentina Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Argentina with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Argentina with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Investment And Exports Will Drive Growth Rebound
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Pace Of Deficit Reduction Will Slow
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
12
External Trade And Investment Outlook
13
External Accounts Will Continue To Improve
13
Outlook On External Position
14
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
15
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
15
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOODS IMPORTS IN 2015
16
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOODS EXPORTS IN 2015
16
Monetary Policy
17
Rate Cuts Ahead As Inflation Moderates
17
Currency Forecast
18
ARS: Gradual Appreciation Ahead
18
TABLE: BMI ARGENTINA CURRENCY FORECAST
18
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
21
The Argentine Economy To 2025
21
Long-Term Growth Driven By Reform Agenda
21
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
21
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
Domestic Politics
26
Macri's Agenda Will Remain On Track
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
Long-Term Political Outlook
28
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
31
Operational Risk
31
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
31
Business Crime
32
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN ARGENTINA
32
Government Intervention
36
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
36
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX BRACKETS
37
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
39
Global Macro Outlook
39
Trumponomics Takes Centre Stage
39
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
39
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
40
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
41
TABLE: ARGENTINA - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
43