Argentina Water Report

Published 12 May 2015

  • 52 pages
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Argentina Water Report

BMI View:   This quarter we have expanded our forecasts to include new projections for water extraction by source, and treated wastewater. These additions have provided extra data to be incorporated into our existing forecasts, resulting in their revisions also. Overall, we expect investment to continue to trickle into the sector over the short term, constraining expansion and modernisation projects, with the majority of funds centred o n hydropower and water storage.

Public expenditures tick up in the coming quarters, and infrastructure is commonly one of the main beneficiaries of this pre-election expenditure. Along with transport projects, construction industry growth will be driven by a number of infrastructure projects in the power and oil and gas sectors. Given Argentina's precarious external account situation, we believe that the government will do all it can to ensure that investment continues to flow into the oil and gas sector, propping up its balance of payments position in the short term and increasing the country's export capacity in the long term.

Over the long term, Argentina's construction sector could potentially benefit from economic growth, but our baseline forecasts see Argentine real GDP growth lagging behind the region, averaging just 2.7% from 2015-2019, owing to necessary adjustments from prolonged government mismanagement of the economy. Indeed, expansionary policies implemented in recent years have created large imbalances in the Argentine economy, preventing consistent public and private investment in infrastructure. This will constrain the water infrastructure project pipeline over the near term.

The blackout in Buenos Aires and its suburbs at the end of 2013 thrust Argentina's power network and water reserves into the limelight, prompting the government to announce plans to spend an estimated USD593mn on improving the grid network and ensuring more power generating diversity to reduce the reliance on hydropower. The unusually...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Water SWOT
8
Political
10
Economic
11
Operational Risk
12
Industry Forecast
14
Production
14
Table: Total Water Production (2012-2019)
15
Table: Water Production by Source (2012-2019)
16
Distribution
17
Table: Water Distribution (2012-2019)
17
Non Revenue Water
18
Table: Non Revenue Water (2012-2019)
18
Domestic Consumption
19
Table: Household Consumption and Connectivity (2012-2019)
19
Non Domestic Consumption
20
Table: Non Domestic Non Mains Consumption (2012-2019)
20
Sanitation
21
Table: Wastewater Collected (2012-2019)
22
Table: Sanitation Connectivity (2012-2019)
22
Table: Wastewater Treatment (2012-2019)
23
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
24
Argentina Risk Reward Index
24
Table: Latin America Water Risk/Reward Index
24
Rewards
24
Risks
25
Market Overview
26
Market Overview
31
Competitive Landscape
34
Under-Secretariat Of Water Resources (SSRH)
34
Other National Authorities
34
Provincial Authorities
35
Private Water Companies
35
Global Industry Overview
36
Demographic Forecast
42
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Argentina 1990-2025)
43
Table: Key Population Ratios (Argentina 1990-2025)
43
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Argentina 1990-2025)
44
Table: Population By Age Group (Argentina 1990-2025)
44
Table: Population By Age Group % (Argentina 1990-2025)
45
Methodology
47
Industry Forecast Methodology
47
Sources
49
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
49
Table: Water Risk/Reward Index Indicators
50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
51

The Argentina Water Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering public and private sector investment in all major water projects including water extraction, water distribution and water treatment and sanitation projects and also includes competitive intelligence. The report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Argentina.

BMI's Argentina Water Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the water industry in Argentina.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent water industry forecasts for Argentina to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Argentinian water industry.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Argentina through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering regulatory changes, major investments and projects and signifi cant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into Water Extraction, Water Consumption and Water Treatment & Sanitation.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the water and wastewater sectors and the potential affects for industrial consumers, within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2011-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

  • Extraction: Total water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); underground water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); surface water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction).
  • Consumption: Total water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); total mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); household water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (litres per household per day); total non-mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); water losses total mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction).
  • Treatment: Total waste water discharged (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); treated discharged water (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); untreated discharged water (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); mechanically treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); biologically treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); combined treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y).
  • economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (USDbn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against USD).

BMI’s Water Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (water management, water utility and water infrastructure companies) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

This is broken down into the following sectors:

  • Water supply & Consumption: Where the water comes from, (rivers, springs, lakes, surface water, ground water and so on), key trends with regards to extraction, key trends with regards to overall water consumption, municipal or domestic consumption, and key industrial and agricultural consumption trends.
  • Water distribution: This examines how the water is distributed – whether by municipalities, regional organisations or national companies, whether the water networks are nationalised or privatised, and key trends and developments.
  • Water Treatment & sanitation: This section evaluates the country’s water pollution levels, the connectivity to water mains and sewage networks, the volumes and methods of water treatment, government initiatives with regards to treatment and sanitation processes and key projects, trends and developments.
  • Regulations & Tariffs: Key national and regional legislations with regards to water pollution, extraction and distribution as well as an overview of water rates for domestic and industrial users.

Industry Trends & Developments

Analysis of latest projects across the water infrastructure sector including water and wastewater treatment plants, desalination facilities, mains water and sewage network expansions, dams, and hydropower plants.

Competitive Landscape

Provides an overview of key government ministries overseeing the water sector together with regulatory organisations, alongside the central companies involved in water and wastewater distribution and treatment services in the country.

Sources

The Water Market Reports are based on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (UN, WB, IMF), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.

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