Argentina Water Report

Published 12 May 2015

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Argentina Water Report

BMI View:   This quarter we have expanded our forecasts to include new projections for water extraction by source, and treated wastewater. These additions have provided extra data to be incorporated into our existing forecasts, resulting in their revisions also. Overall, we expect investment to continue to trickle into the sector over the short term, constraining expansion and modernisation projects, with the majority of funds centred o n hydropower and water storage.

Public expenditures tick up in the coming quarters, and infrastructure is commonly one of the main beneficiaries of this pre-election expenditure. Along with transport projects, construction industry growth will be driven by a number of infrastructure projects in the power and oil and gas sectors. Given Argentina's precarious external account situation, we believe that the government will do all it can to ensure that investment continues to flow into the oil and gas sector, propping up its balance of payments position in the short term and increasing the country's export capacity in the long term.

Over the long term, Argentina's construction sector could potentially benefit from economic growth, but our baseline forecasts see Argentine real GDP growth lagging behind the region, averaging just 2.7% from 2015-2019, owing to necessary adjustments from prolonged government mismanagement of the economy. Indeed, expansionary policies implemented in recent years have created large imbalances in the Argentine economy, preventing consistent public and private investment in infrastructure. This will constrain the water infrastructure project pipeline over the near term.

The blackout in Buenos Aires and its suburbs at the end of 2013 thrust Argentina's power network and water reserves into the limelight, prompting the government to announce plans to spend an estimated USD593mn on improving the grid network and ensuring more power generating diversity to reduce the reliance on hydropower. The unusually...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Water SWOT
9
Political
11
Economic
12
Business Environment
13
Industry Forecast
14
Argentina Water Forecast
14
Water Extraction
15
Table: Argentina Water Extraction 2012-2018
16
Water Consumption
16
Table: Argentina Water Consumption, 2011-2018
17
Water Treatment And Sanitation
17
Table: Argentina Wastewater 2012-2018
18
Table: Sewer Networks 2011-2018
19
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
20
Argentina Risk Reward Index
20
Table: Latin America Water Risk/Reward Index
20
Rewards
20
Risks
21
Market Overview
22
Water Supply And Consumption
22
Industrial And Agricultural Consumption
25
Distribution
26
Treatment And Sanitation
26
Regulation And Tariffs
28
Industry Trends And Developments
31
Key Projects, Industry Trends And Developments
31
Competitive Landscape
34
Under-Secretariat Of Water Resources (SSRH)
34
Other National Authorities
34
Provincial Authorities
35
Private Water Companies
35
Private Sector Involvement
35
Global Industry Overview
36
Demographic Forecast
39
Table: Argentina's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
40
Table: Argentina's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
41
Table: Argentina's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
42
Table: Argentina's Urban And Rural Population, 1990-2020
42
Methodology
43
Industry Forecast Methodology
43
Sources
45
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
45
Table: Water Risk/Reward Index Indicators
46
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
48

The Argentina Water Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering public and private sector investment in all major water projects including water extraction, water distribution and water treatment and sanitation projects and also includes competitive intelligence. The report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Argentina.

BMI's Argentina Water Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the water industry in Argentina.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent water industry forecasts for Argentina to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Argentinian water industry.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Argentina through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering regulatory changes, major investments and projects and signifi cant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into Water Extraction, Water Consumption and Water Treatment & Sanitation.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the water and wastewater sectors and the potential affects for industrial consumers, within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2011-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

  • Extraction: Total water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); underground water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); surface water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction).
  • Consumption: Total water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); total mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); household water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (litres per household per day); total non-mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); water losses total mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction).
  • Treatment: Total waste water discharged (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); treated discharged water (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); untreated discharged water (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); mechanically treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); biologically treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); combined treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y).
  • economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (USDbn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against USD).

BMI’s Water Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (water management, water utility and water infrastructure companies) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

This is broken down into the following sectors:

  • Water supply & Consumption: Where the water comes from, (rivers, springs, lakes, surface water, ground water and so on), key trends with regards to extraction, key trends with regards to overall water consumption, municipal or domestic consumption, and key industrial and agricultural consumption trends.
  • Water distribution: This examines how the water is distributed – whether by municipalities, regional organisations or national companies, whether the water networks are nationalised or privatised, and key trends and developments.
  • Water Treatment & sanitation: This section evaluates the country’s water pollution levels, the connectivity to water mains and sewage networks, the volumes and methods of water treatment, government initiatives with regards to treatment and sanitation processes and key projects, trends and developments.
  • Regulations & Tariffs: Key national and regional legislations with regards to water pollution, extraction and distribution as well as an overview of water rates for domestic and industrial users.

Industry Trends & Developments

Analysis of latest projects across the water infrastructure sector including water and wastewater treatment plants, desalination facilities, mains water and sewage network expansions, dams, and hydropower plants.

Competitive Landscape

Provides an overview of key government ministries overseeing the water sector together with regulatory organisations, alongside the central companies involved in water and wastewater distribution and treatment services in the country.

Sources

The Water Market Reports are based on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (UN, WB, IMF), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc