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Australia Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Australia Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: Over the short term, we do not expect to see overly impressive y-o-y gains across the freight modes in Australia, but growth will remain in the positive over the medium-term forecast period. The ...
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Bangladesh Infrastructure Report

Bangladesh Infrastructure Report

BMI View: Our forecast for sustained real growth for Bangladesh's construction sector over the coming decade is underpinned by significant greenfield infrastructure projects, economic growth and strong foreign investor interest. However, the sector's ...
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Bangladesh Power Report

Bangladesh Power Report

BMI View: Gas will remain the dominant source of energy for electricity generation in Bangladesh for much of the foreseeable future. However, i f Bangladesh is to stop the acute gas shortages from crimping economic ...
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BMI Aluminium Report

BMI Aluminium Report

BMI view: We have revised our aluminium price forecast from USD1,575/tonne to USD1,600/tonne in 2016, as the tightening market provided an earlier than expected floor in Q 116. Aluminium prices will gradually edge higher as ...
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BMI Copper Report

BMI Copper Report

BMI View: We have revised down our average copper price forecast for 2016 to USD4,900/tonne. We expect prices to find a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, supported by production ...
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BMI Gold Report

BMI Gold Report

BMI View: Gold prices will prove resilient in 2016 due to a dovish shift in global monetary policy and elevated systemic financial sector risks. However, we do not foresee a sustained multi-year recovery and the mining ...
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BMI Iron Ore Report

BMI Iron Ore Report

BMI View: Globally, iron ore prices will remain subdued due to weak demand growth in China and expanding output by major miners in Australia and Brazil. China will see output slow as the country's ...
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BMI Lead Report

BMI Lead Report

BMI View: Lead prices will gradually edge higher as the global lead market will shift into deficit by 2017 as production growth will slow over the coming years. BMI Lead Price Forecast Current* 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019 ...
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BMI Nickel Report

BMI Nickel Report

BMI View: Nickel prices will bottom in 2016 as weak production drags the global market into deficit. For instance, we expect Chinese imports of nickel to grow over the coming quarters. Prices will begin 2016 weaker than ...
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BMI Steel Report

BMI Steel Report

BMI View: Global steel prices will remain subdued due to a persistent steel oversupply over the coming quarters. From 2017 onwards, steel prices will gradually edge higher as the global steel surplus will narrow due to ...
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BMI Tin Report

BMI Tin Report

BMI View: Tin prices will be capped by US dollar strength in 2016 , leading us to trim our price forecast to USD14,500/tonne. Beyond 2016, prices will recover gradually as the global tin market posts sustained market ...
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BMI Zinc Report

BMI Zinc Report

BMI View: We maintain our average zinc price forecast for 2016 of USD1,750/tonne. We expect zinc prices to reach a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, as production cuts shift ...
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Brunei Country Risk Report

Brunei Country Risk Report

Assess your risk exposure in Brunei Darussalam with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report ...
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Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: Freight will broadly be an increasing area of growth in Cam bodia, Laos and Myanmar over our medium term forecast period with the latter poised to outperform due to the development of special ...
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China Freight Transport & Shipping Report

China Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: We hold a positive outlook for the Chinese economy and the trade sector as a whole, but we caution that the Chinese economic slowdown will negatively affect the freight transport sector due to ...
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China Into The 2020s: Scenarios For Reform

China Into The 2020s: Scenarios For Reform

The first path is one in which the president continues to amass more power, but opts to forego deeper, badly needed economic reforms in favour of safeguarding his own interests and maintaining stability. The second ...
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China: The Provinces Powering Asia's Largest Economy

China: The Provinces Powering Asia's Largest Economy

China's economy is mired in a protracted slowdown, and we forecast economic growth to average 6.1% perannum out to 2019, which is substantially lower than the average 8.5% registered over the past five years. This slowdown is largely ...
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Global Recession: A Realistic Scenario

Global Recession: A Realistic Scenario

BMI Research has just published this special report examining the risk of a global recession in 2016. While global recession is not our core scenario, the conditions for a recession are arguably in place, and downside ...
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Hong Kong Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Hong Kong Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: Hong Kong's trade outlook remains poor over the near-future, as its close trade links with the mainland will undermine the potential for a recovery in 2016 , and this will weigh on the freight ...
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India Freight Transport & Shipping Report

India Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: Growth in India's freight transport sector will be underpinned by stable economic growth and an expanding manufacturing sector. We expect the country's ports, road and rail sector will be t he ...
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