Australia Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Australia Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Australia with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Australia with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Strong Performance Unlikely To Persist
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Structural Fiscal Position
10
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
11
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
11
Currency Forecast
12
AUD: Technicals And Fundamentals Point To Weakness
12
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
12
External Trade And Investment Outlook
13
Poor Commodity Export Outlook To Persist
13
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
15
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT AND IMPORT PARTNERS
15
TABLE: MAIN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
15
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
15
Monetary Policy
16
Further Easing Still On The Horizon
16
Monetary Policy Framework
18
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
18
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
19
The Australian Economy To 2025
19
Four Major Headwinds To Growth
19
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
19
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
23
SWOT Analysis
23
BMI Political Risk Index
23
Domestic Politics
24
Senate Gridlock To Hinder Policymaking
24
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
24
Long-Term Political Outlook
25
Three Key Challenges: Population, Climate Change, China
25
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
29
Operational Risk
29
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - LABOUR MARKET RISK
29
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - LOGISTICS RISK
32
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - CRIME AND SECURITY RISK
35
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES - TRADE AND INVESTMENT RISK
37
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
39
Global Macro Outlook
39
Austerity Has Peaked, But Populism Is Not Yet Policy
39
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
39
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
40
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
41
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
43