Australia Freight Transport Report

Published 04 September 2015

  • 70 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
Australia Freight Transport Report

BMI View: The latest forecasts for 2015 show road freight outperforming the other two modes at 3. 1 % growth, compared to rail freight's 2. 9 % growth and air freight's 1. 6 %, a change from previous expectations. Road will more than double rail freight in terms of tonnes handled, whi le air freight remains at a far lower figure. Significant falls in the main key trade indicators for exports and imports will occur in 201 5 with total imports down -15.81% and exports down -13.57%.

Economic growth in the country is projected to dip to 2.25% in 2015 but pick up to nearly 3% in 2016 as consumer confidence grows both nationally and globally. As the economy grows, government investment decisions will impact on the direction of the freight industry. Key factors driving the growth of the freight industry in Australia are likely to include growing demand from Asia and particularly in the agrifood sector, local transport needs fuelled by internet commerce and increased inbound container movement.

Predicted trade figures in Australia suggest flat levels of real growth of both imports and exports in the years to 2019. That said, some key trade exports including agriculture, ores and metals, iron and steel, manufactured goods and fuels are predicted to see a significant rebound in 2018/2019 as total trade growth rises from -14.71% in 2015 to 3.94% in 2019.

Road freight is easily the most dominant freight type in Australia, accounting for 68.8% of all freight transport in 2015. The sector is predicted to grow by 3.1% in 2015 with further steady growth to 2019. It has been buoyed up by the government's commitment to improve road infrastructure and the confirmation of further funding for projects.

Rail is the second strongest freight mode, with a 31.2% share of the industry in 2015. The rail freight is likely to see growth slow considerable in 2018 and 2019, with government funding reallocated to the road industry and reduction in coal output hampering demand for rail...

BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Australia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Australia 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners (2006-2013)
Table: Main Export Partners (2006-2013)
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Australia 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Australia 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Australia 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Aurizon (formerly QR National)
Pacific National
Qantas Freight
Toll Group
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Australia 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Australia 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

The Australia Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Australia Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Australian freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Australia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Australian freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Australia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:

  • Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
  • Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top five import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn)
  • Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)

Market Overview

Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.

Industry Trends and Developments

Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

Political Outlook

The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.

Company Profiles*

Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.


The Freight Transport reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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