Australia Shipping Report

Published 16 April 2015

  • 102 pages
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$1,295.00
Australia Shipping Report

We have barely altered last quarter's forecast for Australia's shipping industry, with just minor alterations to the Port of Sydney's tonnage throughput projections. In terms of the wider economy, BMI forecasts Australia's real GDP growth to average 2.3% per annum over the next decade, down from 2.9% over the past decade, as the combined headwinds of slowing population growth, greater government spending, declining terms of trade and heightened deflations risks weigh on economic activity. With this in mind, Australia's shipping industry will not see huge strides in terms of year-on-year (y-o-y) growth, but it will nonetheless enjoy modest gains over the medium term.

The port of Fremantle leading the way in terms of both y-o-y tonnage growth (3.40%) and box throughput growth (3.70%) in Australia in 2015. Meanwhile, the port of Melbourne will see muted growth after two years of stagnation while the port of Sydney will see accelerating tonnage throughput growth and slowing box throughput growth.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2015 port of Melbourne tonnage throughput forecast to grow 1.60%.

  • 2015 port of Melbourne container throughput forecast to rise 1.10%.

  • 2015 port of Sydney tonnage throughput forecast to increase 1.46%.

  • 2015 port of Sydney container throughput forecast to increase 3.60%.

  • 2015 port of Brisbane tonnage throughput forecast to rise 2.60%.

  • 2015 port of Brisbane container throughput forecast to grow 3.00%

  • 2015 total trade growth forecast to grow by 3.32%.

Key Developments

MSC Starts New International Service From Bell Bay - Switzerland-based Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) has started a new fortnightly international freight shipping service that will bring Tasmanian trade closer to the world by providing Australian exporters with a direct link to major centres around Oceania, it was reported at the end of February 2015. The service, primarily to be used for minerals exports, will start operating from Bell Bay in northern Tasmania. 'The...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
10
Shipping
10
Political
13
Economic
14
Business Environment
15
Industry Forecast
17
Port Of Melbourne Throughput
17
Port Of Sydney Throughput
21
Table: Major Port Data, 2011-2018
26
Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018
27
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018
28
Table: Top Import Destinations, 2004-2012, USDmn
30
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012, USDmn
31
Market Overview
32
Australia Container Shipping Market Overview
32
Industry Trends And Developments
38
Company Profile
44
Australian National Lines
44
Shipping - Global Industry View
48
Container Demand:
48
Container Supply:
55
Container Rates:
61
Global Company Strategy
65
Maersk Line
65
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
78
CMA CGM
83
Evergreen Line
93
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
100
Macroeconomic Forecasts
107
Monetary Easing Can Only Do So Much
108
Weaker AUD To Provide Some Reprieve
109
Table: Australia - Economic Activity
110
Demographic Forecast
111
Table: Australia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
112
Table: Australia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
113
Table: Australia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
114
Table: Australia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
114

The Australia Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Australia.

BMI's Australia Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Australia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Australia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Australian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Australia through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc