Australia Shipping Report

Published 16 April 2015

  • 102 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
Australia Shipping Report

We have barely altered last quarter's forecast for Australia's shipping industry, with just minor alterations to the Port of Sydney's tonnage throughput projections. In terms of the wider economy, BMI forecasts Australia's real GDP growth to average 2.3% per annum over the next decade, down from 2.9% over the past decade, as the combined headwinds of slowing population growth, greater government spending, declining terms of trade and heightened deflations risks weigh on economic activity. With this in mind, Australia's shipping industry will not see huge strides in terms of year-on-year (y-o-y) growth, but it will nonetheless enjoy modest gains over the medium term.

The port of Fremantle leading the way in terms of both y-o-y tonnage growth (3.40%) and box throughput growth (3.70%) in Australia in 2015. Meanwhile, the port of Melbourne will see muted growth after two years of stagnation while the port of Sydney will see accelerating tonnage throughput growth and slowing box throughput growth.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2015 port of Melbourne tonnage throughput forecast to grow 1.60%.

  • 2015 port of Melbourne container throughput forecast to rise 1.10%.

  • 2015 port of Sydney tonnage throughput forecast to increase 1.46%.

  • 2015 port of Sydney container throughput forecast to increase 3.60%.

  • 2015 port of Brisbane tonnage throughput forecast to rise 2.60%.

  • 2015 port of Brisbane container throughput forecast to grow 3.00%

  • 2015 total trade growth forecast to grow by 3.32%.

Key Developments

MSC Starts New International Service From Bell Bay - Switzerland-based Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) has started a new fortnightly international freight shipping service that will bring Tasmanian trade closer to the world by providing Australian exporters with a direct link to major centres around Oceania, it was reported at the end of February 2015. The service, primarily to be used for minerals exports, will start operating from Bell Bay in northern Tasmania. 'The...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of Melbourne Throughput
Port Of Sydney Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Australia 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Australia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Australia 2012-2019)
Table: Top Import Destinations, 2006-2013, USDmn
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013, USDmn
Market Overview
Australia Container Shipping Market Overview
Company Profile
Australian National Lines
Shipping - Global Industry View
Three Container Routes To Watch In 2015
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Australia 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Australia 1990-2025)

The Australia Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Australia.

BMI's Australia Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Australia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Australia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Australian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Australia through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc