BMI View: This quarter we have updated and expanded our forecasts across various areas of the water sector. We now cover mains and non mains consumption and extraction, water losses, desalination production and household connections to mains networks. Our new forecasts reflect our overall expectation that water demand in Australia will continue to rise, putting additional pressures on the dwindling freshwater reserves, and stimulating investment in desalination and water treatment and reuse infrastructure.
Heavily dependent on surface water, Australia's water market is increasingly looking to recycled water sources as droughts intensify and ground water resources dwindle. While new reservoirs are being constructed, and large wastewater reuse projects are underway, rising demand for water from mains and non mains users puts increasing pressures on limited resources. Despite the government's ambitious water infrastructure development goals - particularly for desalinated and reclaimed water projects - slow progress suggests that reservoirs and rain water will continue to account for the majority of water produced over our forecast period to 2019.
With scarcity being the key theme in the Australian water landscape the focus is very much on efficiency. As such we are seeing the increased involvement of commercial utilities, including the recent entry of UK's Balfour Beatty. Furthermore we are seeing innovative approaches being adopted, including the recent trial of the River Reach Program, involving the trading of water rights between farmers.
BMI views the evolution of a more regimented and coherent water reuse culture as key to Australia's future water security. Within this, we anticipate the need for new developments in wastewater treatment, collection and redistribution infrastructure and policies. In many places in Australia the reuse of wastewater is unplanned indirect potable reuse (IPR) - such as in Adelaide, where wastewater runs into large river basins...
The Australia Water Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering public and private sector investment in all major water projects including water extraction, water distribution and water treatment and sanitation projects and also includes competitive intelligence. The report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Australia.
BMI's Australia Water Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the water industry in Australia.
- Benchmark BMI's independent water industry forecasts for Australia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Australian water industry.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Australia through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering regulatory changes, major investments and projects and signifi cant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into Water Extraction, Water Consumption and Water Treatment & Sanitation.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the water and wastewater sectors and the potential affects for industrial consumers, within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts
Historic data series (2011-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:
- Extraction: Total water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); underground water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); surface water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction).
- Consumption: Total water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); total mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); household water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (litres per household per day); total non-mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); water losses total mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction).
- Treatment: Total waste water discharged (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); treated discharged water (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); untreated discharged water (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); mechanically treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); biologically treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); combined treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y).
- economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (USDbn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against USD).
BMI’s Water Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (water management, water utility and water infrastructure companies) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
This is broken down into the following sectors:
- Water supply & Consumption: Where the water comes from, (rivers, springs, lakes, surface water, ground water and so on), key trends with regards to extraction, key trends with regards to overall water consumption, municipal or domestic consumption, and key industrial and agricultural consumption trends.
- Water distribution: This examines how the water is distributed – whether by municipalities, regional organisations or national companies, whether the water networks are nationalised or privatised, and key trends and developments.
- Water Treatment & sanitation: This section evaluates the country’s water pollution levels, the connectivity to water mains and sewage networks, the volumes and methods of water treatment, government initiatives with regards to treatment and sanitation processes and key projects, trends and developments.
- Regulations & Tariffs: Key national and regional legislations with regards to water pollution, extraction and distribution as well as an overview of water rates for domestic and industrial users.
Industry Trends & Developments
Analysis of latest projects across the water infrastructure sector including water and wastewater treatment plants, desalination facilities, mains water and sewage network expansions, dams, and hydropower plants.
Provides an overview of key government ministries overseeing the water sector together with regulatory organisations, alongside the central companies involved in water and wastewater distribution and treatment services in the country.
The Water Market Reports are based on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (UN, WB, IMF), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.