Austria Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
×

Sign up to download the Austria Country Risk Report

By submitting this form you are acknowledging that you have read and understood our Privacy Policy.

Thank you for your interest

You will shortly receive your free executive summary by email.

Austria Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,195.00

Core Views:

  • Austrian real GDP growth will accelerate in 2016 but economic activity will lag behind regional peers, despite improving external demand from the eurozone.

  • At a federal level, support for the Freedom Party (FPO) exceeds that of either the SPO or OVP, which we expect to hold throughout 2016. The FPO is now the junior government coalition member in two Austrian states (Burgenland and Upper Austria).

Key Risks:

  • Lacklustre consumer spending could result in a lower negative contribution from imports. This would bolster growth over the year though we do not feel this could significant deviate from forecasts in 2016 and 2017.

  • Continually robust support for the far right Freedom Party in 2016 remains a salient political risk consideration.

  • Austria's unilateral implementation of border controls and asylum application cap of 80 per day will lead to a domino effect along the 'Balkan Route'. This will impede the prospects of a European wide solution to the migrant crisis.

Macroeconomic Forecasts (Austria 2015-2018)
Indicator 2015e 2016f 2017f 2018f
e/f= BMI estimate/forecast Source: BMI/eurostat
Nominal GDP, EURbn 335.1 348.4 361.4 376.0
Real GDP growth, % y-o-y 0.9 1.8 1.9 1.8
Consumer price inflation, % y-o-y, eop 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.5
Exchange rate EUR/USD, eop 0.95 0.91 0.87 0.83
Budget balance, % of GDP -1.6 -1.8 -1.6 -1.4
Current account balance, % of GDP 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Road To Recovery Ahead
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: 10 YEAR GDP FORECAST
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
11
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
11
Chapter 2: Political Outlook
13
SWOT Analysis
13
BMI Political Risk Index
13
Domestic Politics
14
Border Controls To Hurt EU And Trade
14
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
14
Chapter 3: Operational Risk
17
SWOT Analysis
17
Operational Risk Index
17
Chapter 4: BMI Global Macro Outlook
19
Global Macro Outlook
19
Tail Risks Mounting Amid Sub-Par Growth
19
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
19
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
20
TABLE: BMI VERSUS BLOOMBERG CONSENSUS REAL GDP GROWTH FORECASTS, 2015 AND 2016 (%)
20
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
21
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
23

Assess your risk exposure in Austria with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Austria with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report