BMI View : Austria continues to be one of the largest markets for renewable energy and also its non-hydro sector, led by wind power, is seeing stable growth. Although 2015 and 2016 are seeing a steady slowing of such growth, the country is on track to meet its 2020 targets long before the deadline and become one of the countries that may exceed its targets. Investments in the sector are generally undermined by an expected shift in the regulatory framework as well as low electricity costs and no clear strategy for renewables beyond 2020.
|e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: EIA, National Sources, BMI|
|Generation, Non-Hydropower Renewables, TWh||9.561||10.320||10.908||11.496||12.042||12.640||13.213|
|Generation, Non-Hydropower Renewables, % y-o-y||11.551||7.943||5.696||5.390||4.754||4.962||4.532|
|Capacity, Non-Hydroelectric Renewables, MW||5,766.4||6,204.3||6,571.2||6,918.8||7,300.8||7,749.4||8,062.6|
|Capacity, Non-Hydroelectric Renewables, % y-o-y||10.7||7.6||5.9||5.3||5.5||6.1||4.0|
Latest Updates A nd Structural Trends
For 2016, we expect growth in the non-hydro renewables sector to decrease slightly to 5.7% as economic headwinds continue, both on a general GDP level, as well as on the sector level due to decreasing electricity prices and regulatory uncertainties.
Since 2015, the Austrian government has reduced the feed-in tariff by 8% for PV systems up to 200kW, due to the apparent maturity - and hence lower costs - of PV systems.
For 2015, Austrian wind energy association IG Windkraft adjusted its capacity growth expectations down from 390MW to 250MW, with BMI's forecast of 276MW (previously conservative) slightly above this number. This downward trends follows a record growth in 2014 in additional wind power capacity of 411MW (2013/308MW).
The government halted imports of nuclear power at the end of 2014 and will need to seek other generation sources to fill the gap. Austria imported just over 3% of its electricity needs; so a growth of 4.7% a year in electricity generation should be sufficient to cover consumption.
The Austria Renewables Report researched at source contains BMI Research's assessment of the current renewables market in Austria. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).
The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Austria, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.
The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Austria, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.
BMI's Austria Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Austria renewables industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Austria to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Austria renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Austria, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.
These in turn are broken down into:
Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.
Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.
These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.
The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.