Bahrain Food & Drink Report

Published 12 February 2015

  • 106 pages
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$1,295.00
Bahrain Food & Drink Report

BMI View: Despite some downside risks, we maintain our positive outlook on food consumption growth in Bahrain throughout the forecast period. We forecast food consumption growth in local currency terms reaching 5.7%, down from 6. 6 % in 2014, supported as it is by strong growth in the mass grocery retail sector. Real GDP growth is forecast to reach 3.8% in 2 015 and 2016 . However, employment and wage growth have slowed in recent months and are yet to show signs of improvement.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

  • Food consumption growth for 2015: +5.7%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019: +5.9%.

  • Per capita food consumption growth for 2015: +4.5%; CAGR 2014 to 2019: +4.2%.

  • Soft drinks value sales growth for 2015: +4.4%; CAGR 2014 to 2019: +4.6%.

  • Mass grocery retail sales growth for 2015: +7.1%; CAGR 2014 to 2019: +7.2%.

Key Trends And Developments

Nesto Group Opens New Store In Manama : UAE based Nesto Group announced in January 2015 that it was about to open its sixth supermarket in Bahrain. Located in Manama, the Bahraini capital, the 3,000sq ft store will house a supermarket and department store.

Emke Group To Expand Bahraini Operations : Following the opening of a major logistics centre in Manama, Bahrain, in December 2014, Lulu hypermarkets operator Emke Group announced further planned investments across the country. Speaking to Emirates 24/7, the group's managing director, Yousuf Ali, stated that Emke planned to open a further three new hypermarkets in Bahrain by the end of 2016, creating 600 new jobs.

Mondelez International To Create 300 Jobs With New Bahrain Biscuit Plant : US-based Mondelez International announced in October 2014 that its USD90mn new biscuit manufacturing plant in Bahrain would create around 300 direct jobs by the end of its initial operating phase. However, the plant's scalability means that there is the potential for it to generate a further 700 direct jobs and sustain thousands of indirect...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food
9
Drink
11
Mass Grocery Retail
13
Industry Forecast
15
Consumer Outlook
15
Food
18
Food Consumption
18
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Bahrain 2011-2018)
19
Drink
20
Soft Drinks
20
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Bahrain 2011-2018)
21
Mass Grocery Retail
21
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Bahrain 2011-2018)
22
Trade
23
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (Bahrain 2011-2018)
23
Macroeconomic Forecast
24
Economic Analysis
24
Expenditure Breakdown
27
Table: Economic Activity (Bahrain 2009-2018)
33
Industry Risk/Reward Index
34
Middle East And North Africa - Risk/Reward Index
34
Table: Middle East & North Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q115
36
Table: Middle East & North Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q115 (scores out of 10)
39
Bahrain Risk/Reward Index
40
Market Overview
41
Food
41
Agriculture
41
Food Processing
42
Halal Food
42
Drink
44
Soft Drinks
44
Alcoholic Drinks
44
Hot Drinks
45
Mass Grocery Retail
47
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Bahrain 2005-2009)
48
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Bahrain 2005-2009)
48
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Bahrain 2005-2009)
48
Industry Trends And Developments
49
Food
49
Drink
58
Mass Grocery Retail
64
Competitive Landscape
68
Table: Key Players In Bahrain's Food & Drink Sector
68
Table: Key Players In Bahrain's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
69
Company Profile
70
Bahrain Flour Mills Company
70
General Trading And Food Processing Company
72
Kraft Foods
74
Delmon Poultry Company
77
Nestl-
79
Awal Dairy Company
82
EMKE Group
84
Fu-Com International/G-ant
86
Carrefour MAF
88
Global Industry Overview
91
Table: Dollar General And Family Dollar Historic Quarterly Same-Store Sales Growth (% Change Y-O-Y)
95
Table: Selected US And Global Spirits Companies - Historical Financial Indicators
98
Table: Select US Beverage Companies - Historic Eva Spread
100
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views
101
Demographic Forecast
103
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bahrain 1990-2025)
105
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bahrain 1990-2025)
105
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Bahrain 1990-2025)
106
Table: Population By Age Group (Bahrain 1990-2025)
106
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bahrain 1990-2025)
107
Glossary
108
Food & Drink
108
Mass Grocery Retail
108
Methodology
110
Industry Forecast Methodology
110
Sector-Specific Methodology
111
Sources
111
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
112
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
113
Table: Weighting
114

The Bahrain Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Bahrain Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Bahrain.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Bahrain to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Bahraini food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Bahrain through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Food Forecasts

BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

  • Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
  • Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
  • Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc