Bahrain Food & Drink Report

Published 28 May 2015

  • 97 pages
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$1,295.00
Bahrain Food & Drink Report

BMI View: Despite some downside risks, we maintain our positive outlook on food consumption growth in Bahrain throughout our forecast period to 2019 . We forecast food consumption growth in local currency terms of 5.7%, down from 6. 6 % in 2014, supported by strong growth in the mass grocery retail (MGR) sector. Real GDP growth is forecast to reach 3. 4 % in 2 015 and 3.3% in 2016 . However, employment and wage growth have slowed in recent months and are yet to show signs of improvement.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

  • Food consumption growth for 2015: +5.7%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019: +5.8%.

  • Per capita food consumption growth for 2015: +4.5%; CAGR 2014 to 2019: +4.2%.

  • Soft drinks value sales growth for 2015: +4.4%; CAGR 2014 to 2019: +4.6%.

  • MGR sales growth for 2015: +7.1%; CAGR 2014 to 2019: +7.4%.

Key Trends And Developments

Al Rawabi Eyes Further Regional Growth

Al Rawabi Dairy celebrated its 25th anniversary in March 2015, with the announcement that its Q115 sales had risen 15% year-on-year (y-o-y) and that it plans to expand its operations in Kuwait and Bahrain by the year's end. According to a report in Gulf News, the company produces a 275,000 litres of fresh milk and 150,000 litres of fresh fruit/vegetable juice a day. Al Rawabi's dairy herd has grown from 500 head of cattle in 1989 to 12,500 animals, of which approximately 8,000 are milking cows.

Strong Performance From BMMI In 2014

Alsora Supermarket owner BMMI Group reported that its annual sales grew 7.8% y-o-y from BHD98.3mn in 2013 to BHD106mn in 2014. It achieved a net profit of BHD11.3mn, up 13% from BHD10mn in 2013. The company puts this strong performance down to its investments in infrastructure, assets, quality and operational systems, including the expansion of its Alosra Supermarkets in Bahrain.

Pressure On Delmon Poultry To Move

Following complaints from residents in Hamala, Delmon Poultry Company is under pressure to...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
10
Food
10
Drink
12
Mass Grocery Retail
14
Industry Forecast
16
Consumer Outlook
16
Food
17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data And Forecasts (Bahrain 2012-2019)
18
Drink
19
Soft Drinks
19
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production And Trade - Historical Data And Forecasts (Bahrain 2012-2019)
20
Mass Grocery Retail
20
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales - Historical Data And Forecasts (Bahrain 2012-2019)
21
Trade
22
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data And Forecasts (Bahrain 2012-2019)
22
Macroeconomic Forecast
23
Economic Analysis
23
Table: Bmi Crude Oil Price Forecast
25
Table: Bahrain - Real Gdp Growth, % Chg Y-O-Y
27
Table: Bahrain - Main Infrastructure And Industrial Developments
29
Table: Economic Activity (Bahrain 2010-2019)
30
Industry Risk/Reward Index
31
Middle East And North Africa - Risk/Reward Index
31
Table: Middle East & North Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q315
33
Bahrain Risk/Reward Index
36
Market Overview
37
Food
37
Agriculture
37
Food Processing
38
Halal Food
38
Drink
39
Soft Drinks
39
Alcoholic Drinks
40
Hot Drinks
40
Mass Grocery Retail
41
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Bahrain 2005-2009)
42
Bahrain Food & Drink Report Q3 2015
Bahrain Food & Drink Report Q3 2015
- Business Monitor International Ltd Page 4
- Business Monitor International Ltd Page 4
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Bahrain 2005-2009)
42
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Bahrain 2005-2009)
42
Industry Trends And Developments
43
Food
43
Drink
46
Mass Grocery Retail
50
Competitive Landscape
54
Table: Key Players In Bahrain's Food And Drink Sector
54
Table: Key Players In Bahrain's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
55
Company Profile
56
Bahrain Flour Mills Company
56
General Trading And Food Processing Company
58
Kraft Foods
60
Delmon Poultry Company
63
Nestl-
65
Awal Dairy Company
68
EMKE Group
70
Fu-Com International/G-ant
72
Carrefour MAF
74
Global Industry Overview
77
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q115 Roundup
84
Demographic Forecast
86
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bahrain 1990-2025)
87
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bahrain 1990-2025)
87
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Bahrain 1990-2025)
88
Table: Population By Age Group (Bahrain 1990-2025)
88
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bahrain 1990-2025)
89
Glossary
91
Food & Drink
91
Mass Grocery Retail
91
Methodology
93
Industry Forecast Methodology
93
Sector-Specific Methodology
94
Sources
94
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
95
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
96
Table: Weighting
97

The Bahrain Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Bahrain Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Bahrain.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Bahrain to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Bahraini food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Bahrain through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Food Forecasts

BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

  • Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
  • Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
  • Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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