Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecommunications industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast Scenario, Telecommunications Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Regulatory Environment, Company Profiles and Competitive

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position.
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Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: The g overnment plans to sell a minority stake in BH Tele com, the largest of Bosnia' s three incumbent operators . Poor financial performance is its key reason for selling, althou gh there is little hope that an additional investor will be able to effect a change in strategy. The mobile and broadband markets offer few organ ic growth opportunities . The most attractive areas for investment are in services rather than infrastructure, although ongoing consolidation within the fragmented cable sector is welcomed.

Operators Must Monetise Mobile Broadband
Bosnia-Herzegovina Mobile Forecasts
f = BMI forecast. Source: BMI, CRA, operators

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

  • Around 143,000 mobile subscriptions were shed in H115, taking the total to 3.407mn. This was due to higher churn linked to price promotions and the seasonal effects of mobile tourism. Total mobile subscriptions will reach 3.427mn by 2019.

  • Operators are installing next-generation broadband networks. Multi-play services are finding an audience, but adoption rates remain low. We forecast there will be 810,000 broadband subscriptions by 2019.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
9
Latest Updates
9
Structural Trends
9
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Bosnia-Herzegovina 2012-2019)
12
Industry Risk Reward Index
13
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
13
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index, Q1 2016
16
Market Overview
18
Market Drivers & Trends
18
Mobile
19
Wireline Voice & ARPU
22
Pay-TV/Convergence
26
Regulatory Development
27
Table: Bosnia-Herzegovina: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
27
Fixed-Line Tariff Balancing
28
SMP Designations
28
Competitive Landscape
29
Market Structure
29
Table: Key Players
29
Table: Selected Operators' Financial Indicators (USDmn)
29
Mobile Operator Data
29
Table: Mobile Market Overview
29
Table: BH Telecom
30
Table: HT Mobilne (HT Eronet)
31
Table: Mobilne Srpske (MTS)
31
Company Profile
32
BH Telecom
32
Demographic Forecast
35
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bosnia-Herzegovina 1990-2025)
36
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bosnia-Herzegovina 1990-2025)
36
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Bosnia-Herzegovina 1990-2025)
37
Table: Population By Age Group (Bosnia-Herzegovina 1990-2025)
37
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bosnia-Herzegovina 1990-2025)
38
Glossary
40
Table: Glossary Of Terms
40
Methodology
42
Industry Forecast Methodology
42
Sources
44
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
44
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
45
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
46

The Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Bosnia-Herzegovina's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Bosnia-Herzegovina to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Bosnian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Bosnia-Herzegovina's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Bosnia-Herzegovina.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.