Botswana Infrastructure Report

Published 18 May 2015

  • 91 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Botswana Infrastructure Report

BMI View: The infrastructure and construction sector of Botswana is heading into a period of sustained growth on the back of continued investment in the mining sector and the development of associated transport and power infrastructure. For 2015, we expect the sector to grow in real terms by 5.7% , with average annual real growth over our 10-year forecast period at 6.5%.

The biggest source of value creation is likely to remain electricity and transport. The country is working hard to reduce its reliance on South Africa for electricity supply and cater to growing domestic demand from its mining sector. There are a number of projects being developed and due to come online over the medium term. These include the long-delayed Morupule B coal-fired plant, which has had its implementation date pushed back several times. International companies are also expanding their business and investing in mining projects.

Key Trends And Developments

  • The timeframe of the current government's National Development Plan (NDP) 10 has been extended until the end of March 2017. It will be followed by NDP 11, starting April 2017. The reason for the delay is to enable new parliamentarians to participate in drafting NDP 11.

  • Australian junior, Walkabout Resources, stated in January 2015 it had completed a scoping study, confirming the robust development model for its Takatokwane thermal coal project in the Kweneng District which was estimated at USD767mn. The conceptual operation at Takatokwane is based on two open pit strip mines, each delivering 6mn tonnes a year of coal.

  • Botswana will become an increasingly significant player in the global coal market, given the country's ample reserves. In total, Botswana has an estimated 212bnt (billion tonnes) of coal resources, the highest in Africa and almost all of which remain unexploited. Currently, the only operating coal mine in the country is the Morupule colliery, supplying the Botswana Power Corporation. Yet a number of...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Infrastructure SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Botswana 2013-2018)
10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Botswana 2019-2024)
10
Table: Botswana 2013 Development Budget, Selected Ministries & Projects, BWPmn
16
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
18
Table: Mozambique Transport Corridors
21
Major Projects Table - Transport
27
Table: Planned And Ongoing Transport Projects, Southern Africa
27
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
33
Table: SAPP Members
44
Major Projects - Energy & Utilities
47
Table: Planned And Ongoing Energy & Utilities Projects, Southern Africa
47
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
54
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
62
Table: Major Projects - Social Infrastructure & Construction
62
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
64
Botswana - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
64
SSA Infrastructure Challenged By Global Headwinds
65
Table: Election Timetable, April-December 2015
71
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa's Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index, Q315
72
Market Overview
73
Competitive Landscape
73
Table: Number Of Contractors In Southern Africa (excluding South Africa)
73
Table: Number Of Contractors In Southern Africa (by region & including South Africa)
74
Pulling On Historic Ties
75
China Trade Off, Other Asian Countries Follow Suit
76
South Africans Expanding Into Their Backyard
78
Global Infrastructure Overview
80
Project Risk Index: Robust Financing Establishes Outperformer Status
80
Table: Project Risk Index - Top 10 Markets
80
Table: Project Risk Index - Financing Risk, SSA Top 5
81
Table: Project Risk Index - Construction Risk, Asia-Pacific Top 5
82
Table: Project Risk Index - Operation Risk, Developed Markets Top 5
83
Methodology
84
Industry Forecast Methodology
84
Sector-Specific Methodology
85
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
89
Sector-Specific Methodology
90
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
90
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
91

The Botswana Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Botswana Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Botswanan infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Botswana to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Botswanan infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Botswanan infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Botswana.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc