BMI View: The infrastructure and construction sector of Botswana is heading into a period of sustained growth on the back of continued investment in the mining sector and the development of associated transport and power infrastructure. For 2015, we expect the sector to grow in real terms by 5.7% , with average annual real growth over our 10-year forecast period at 6.5%.
The biggest source of value creation is likely to remain electricity and transport. The country is working hard to reduce its reliance on South Africa for electricity supply and cater to growing domestic demand from its mining sector. There are a number of projects being developed and due to come online over the medium term. These include the long-delayed Morupule B coal-fired plant, which has had its implementation date pushed back several times. International companies are also expanding their business and investing in mining projects.
Key Trends And Developments
The timeframe of the current government's National Development Plan (NDP) 10 has been extended until the end of March 2017. It will be followed by NDP 11, starting April 2017. The reason for the delay is to enable new parliamentarians to participate in drafting NDP 11.
Australian junior, Walkabout Resources, stated in January 2015 it had completed a scoping study, confirming the robust development model for its Takatokwane thermal coal project in the Kweneng District which was estimated at USD767mn. The conceptual operation at Takatokwane is based on two open pit strip mines, each delivering 6mn tonnes a year of coal.
Botswana will become an increasingly significant player in the global coal market, given the country's ample reserves. In total, Botswana has an estimated 212bnt (billion tonnes) of coal resources, the highest in Africa and almost all of which remain unexploited. Currently, the only operating coal mine in the country is the Morupule colliery, supplying the Botswana Power Corporation. Yet a number of...
The Botswana Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.
BMI's Botswana Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Botswanan infrastructure and construction industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Botswana to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Botswanan infrastructure market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Botswanan infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Botswana.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:
Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).
Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.
The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).
BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.