BMI View: Botswana will remain one of the best regulated and strongest performing mining sectors in Africa over the coming years. The sector will largely be driven by the diamond industry, though other metals and minerals will see increasing prominence, including coal, copper, and nickel. Additionally, uranium mining is likely to take off over the next decade.
We maintain a constructive outlook for Botswana's mining sector over our forecast period to 2019. Diamonds will remain the mainstay of Botswana's mining sector, boosted by new projects planned by Debswana, Gem Diamonds and Lucara Diamond Corp. Yet we expect coal will become an increasingly prominent component of the wider mining sector and forecast production will accelerate in the years ahead. We therefore forecast the country's mining industry value will see average annual growth of 4.0% to 2019, reaching a value of USD3.7bn by 2019.
Coal To Play Larger Role
Botswana's mining sector has significant potential for further growth on account of large diamond, copper and coal deposits, as well as numerous successful exploration projects. In particular, we highlight strong growth potential for the country's coal sector. Fast growth from a low base will be driven by companies including Anglo American, Exxaro, African Energy & CIC Energy, bringing substantial investment into Botswana's nascent coal sector.
Botswana - Major New Mining Projects
| Company || Mine || Production/ Reserves || Year |
| Source: BMI, Company Announcements |
| CIC Energy || Mmamabula || Coal: 4.5mntpa || 2016 |
| African Energy || Sese || Coal: 1mntpa || 2016 |
| Minergy || Mmamabula || Coal: Inferred Resources: 2.8bnt || na |
| Debswana || Jwaneng (extension) || Diamonds: Deposit of 100mnct || na |
| Sentula Mining || Asenjo || Coal: Exploration & Feasibility Stage || na |
Country To Remain Dependent On Mining
Slow economic recovery in the US and Europe, two of the main export markets for Botswana's diamond...
The Botswana Mining Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s mining and commodity forecasts for metals, minerals and gems, covering all major indicators including reserves, production, exports and values. The report also analyses trends and prospects, national and multinational companies and changes in the regulatory environment.
BMI's Botswana Mining Report provides industry strategists, service companies, company analysts and consultants, government departments, trade associations and regulatory bodies with BMI's independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the mining industry in Botswana.
- Use BMI's independent industry forecasts on Botswana to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in this mining market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Botswana's mining sector through our reviews of latest mining industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Botswana.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity), Key Projects Tables and Competitive Landscape Tables.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key forecasts and industry analysis, covering mining reserves, supply, demand and prices, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.
Industry SWOT analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the mining sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2009-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:
- Mining industry: Industry size (USDmn), real growth (%), % of GDP, employment (‘000), workforce as % of total workforce, average wage (USD).
- Output: Production volumes (‘000 tonnes, carats etc.) for all major metals, minerals, ores and gems mined in each state, including bauxite, copper, gold, coal, lead, silver, tin, titanium, uranium, zinc etc.
- Exports: Value of exports (USDmn) for all major metals, minerals, ores and gems mined in each state.
- Commodity markets: Global demand, supply, stocks and benchmark prices (USD) for aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, tin, zinc, gold and steel.
BMI’s Mining Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (mining companies and support service providers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
Competitive Landscape Tables & Analysis
Comparative company analyses and tables detailing USD sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, market cap/NAV, ownership structure, production and % market share.
Details and analysis of all current and planned developments (new ventures, capacity expansion and other investments) across the sector broken down by metal/ore.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Mining reports are based on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (UN, WB, IMF), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.