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BMI Aluminium Report

BMI Aluminium Report

BMI view: We have revised our aluminium price forecast from USD1,575/tonne to USD1,600/tonne in 2016, as the tightening market provided an earlier than expected floor in Q 116. Aluminium prices will gradually edge higher as ...
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BMI Copper Report

BMI Copper Report

BMI View: We have revised down our average copper price forecast for 2016 to USD4,900/tonne. We expect prices to find a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, supported by production ...
$1,295.00
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BMI Gold Report

BMI Gold Report

BMI View: Gold prices will prove resilient in 2016 due to a dovish shift in global monetary policy and elevated systemic financial sector risks. However, we do not foresee a sustained multi-year recovery and the mining ...
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BMI Lead Report

BMI Lead Report

BMI View: Lead prices will gradually edge higher as the global lead market will shift into deficit by 2017 as production growth will slow over the coming years. BMI Lead Price Forecast Current* 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019 ...
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BMI Nickel Report

BMI Nickel Report

BMI View: Nickel prices will bottom in 2016 as weak production drags the global market into deficit. For instance, we expect Chinese imports of nickel to grow over the coming quarters. Prices will begin 2016 weaker than ...
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BMI Steel Report

BMI Steel Report

BMI View: Global steel prices will remain subdued due to a persistent steel oversupply over the coming quarters. From 2017 onwards, steel prices will gradually edge higher as the global steel surplus will narrow due to ...
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BMI Tin Report

BMI Tin Report

BMI View: Tin prices will be capped by US dollar strength in 2016 , leading us to trim our price forecast to USD14,500/tonne. Beyond 2016, prices will recover gradually as the global tin market posts sustained market ...
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BMI Zinc Report

BMI Zinc Report

BMI View: We maintain our average zinc price forecast for 2016 of USD1,750/tonne. We expect zinc prices to reach a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, as production cuts shift ...
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Brazil Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Brazil Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: We anticipate growth across Brazil's freight modes and major container ports in 2016 that will also last over the medium term. Domestic demand will slowly accelerate , prompted by gradual economic recovery , while increasing ...
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What Went Wrong For Opinion Pollsters In 2015?

What Went Wrong For Opinion Pollsters In 2015?

General elections are typically the biggest event in the political calendar of any country. Opinion polls are by and large the only tool analysts, investors, and commentators have in predicting election outcomes. As such, when ...
$580.00
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Brazil Country Risk Report

Brazil Country Risk Report

Assess your risk exposure in Brazil with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will ...
$1,195.00
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Brazil Agribusiness Report

Brazil Agribusiness Report

BMI View: We believe that grains production growth over the next five years will slow relative to the preceding five. Soybean production will outpace that of corn, as lower production costs for soybean relative to ...
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Brazil Autos Report

Brazil Autos Report

BMI View: We are further revising down our vehicle sales and production forecasts for Brazil in 2016 with both now forecast to contract 16.2% to 2.15mn and 2.06mn units, respectively. Added political uncertainty from President Rousseff's ...
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Brazil Consumer Electronics Report

Brazil Consumer Electronics Report

BMI View: We maintain our negative outlook for the Brazilian consumer electronics segment in 2016 as we forecast this to be the final year of market contraction before returning to growth trajectory from 2017 onwards. Brazilian consumer ...
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Brazil Defence & Security Report

Brazil Defence & Security Report

BMI View: We expect Brazilian defence expenditure to contract in 2016 amid the recession; however, it will remain at around 1.3% of GDP, and return to growth over the medium term as economic conditions improve. Defence spending ...
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Brazil Food & Drink Report

Brazil Food & Drink Report

BMI View: Brazil's recession will deepen ove r 2016 leading to rising unemployment and a reduction in real wages, resulting in our weak outlook for consumption. Brazil's manufacturing sector for consumer goods cannot support ...
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Brazil Information Technology Report

Brazil Information Technology Report

BMI View: The Brazilian IT market was severely impacted by US dollar appreciation in 2015, but the decline in the Brazilian market specifically was severe due to the negative impact of the commodity downturn and domestic ...
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Brazil Infrastructure Report

Brazil Infrastructure Report

BMI View: Brazil's construction sector remains in a state of flux, with the recession expected to persist in 2016 as tenders are delayed, companies face a high cost of capital, the public sector remains in ...
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Brazil Insurance Report

Brazil Insurance Report

BMI View : In spite of a very difficult economic environment, Brazil remains a market that is both large in absolute terms and, in relation to the forecast period, reasonably quickly growing. We continue to forecast ...
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Brazil Oil & Gas Report

Brazil Oil & Gas Report

BMI View: Brazil's vast pre-salt reserves suggest substantial growth potential over the long term, underpinning our bullish upstream view that crude, natural gas, and other liquids output will rise over the next decade. However, ...
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