Brazil Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
×

Sign up to download the Brazil Country Risk Report

By submitting this form you are acknowledging that you have read and understood our Privacy Policy.

Thank you for your interest

You will shortly receive your free executive summary by email.

Brazil Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Brazil with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Brazil with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Economic Recovery Will Be Slow And Drawn Out
8
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: 10-YEAR GDP FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORT FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Fiscal Reforms Will Support Debt Sustainability
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
13
External Trade And Investment Outlook
15
Narrower Current Account Shortfalls, But Little Room For Gains
15
Outlook On External Position
16
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
16
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOODS IMPORTS IN 2015
17
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOODS EXPORTS IN 2015
17
TABLE: FINANCIAL ACCOUNT INDICATORS
17
Monetary Policy
18
Cautious Easing Cycle As Inflation Outlook Improves
18
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY
19
Monetary Policy Framework
20
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
20
Currency Forecast
21
BRL: High Real Rates Will Support Modest Appreciation
21
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
21
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
23
The Brazilian Economy To 2025
23
Days Of Easy Growth Are Gone
23
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
23
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
Domestic Politics
26
Cunha Investigation Risks Undermining Political Stability
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
Long-Term Political Outlook
27
Economy To Dominate Policymaking
27
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
31
SWOT Analysis
31
Operational Risk Index
31
Operational Risk
32
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
32
Business Crime
33
TABLE: MAIN ACTIVE CRIMINAL GROUPS
33
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN BRAZIL
35
Government Intervention
37
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
37
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
38
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Broad Recovery But Three Notes Of Caution
41
TABLE: GLOBAL FORECASTS, 2015-2020
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
45