Brazil Freight Transport Report

Published 22 May 2015

  • 75 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
Brazil Freight Transport Report

We anticipate that growth in Brazil's freight transport volumes will outperform the Latin American giant's real GDP growth over our medium-term forecast period (2015-2019), across all modes. Brazil will remain mired in a period of low growth in the coming years, due to a slowing consumer story, persistent business environment challenges, and a weaker external environment. Nevertheless, steady gains in mining and agriculture output will ensure that freight volumes keep growing.

Real GDP in Brazil will contract in 2015 for the first time since 2009. Private consumption will face rising headwinds this year from higher taxes. We forecast real GDP to contract by 0.5% in 2015, a significant revision from our previous forecast for a 0.6% expansion. Despite a contracting economy, we expect positive growth in each freight mode, supported by the countries well established agribusiness and mining sector, as well as demand from private consumers.

Volumes transported on Brazil's rail freight network are set to continue advancing at a healthy rate in 2015. Our 2015 growth forecast anticipates growth at 2.1%, which if realised would see 474.9mn tonnes transported by rail this year, a consolidation of 2014's return to growth after 2013's contraction of 2.1%. We note that this growth outlook for Brazilian rail freight is conservative, and risks for the short term are weighted to the upside. Money is being invested in developing the sector, in part in order to ensure it is capable of handling an expected increase in volumes for the Rio de Janeiro Olympic Games in 2016.

We forecast slow but steady growth in Brazil's well-developed road freight sector in 2015. We expect growth of 0.9% to reach 1.6bn tonnes, supported by mining and agricultural output. We caution that risk to our outlook is posed by regular labour disputes which bring road freight to a standstill. In April 2015 thousands of independent Brazilian truckers disrupted supply chains by striking in five states across the...

BMI Industry View
Brazil - Q315
Freight Transport
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Brazil 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Brazil 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Brazil 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Brazil 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Brazil 2012-2019)
Company Profile
Santos Brasil Participa-es
Vale (Logistics)
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2019-2024 ( Global 2019-2024)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Brazil 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

The Brazil Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

BMI Research's Brazil Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Brazilian freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Brazil to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Brazilian freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Brazil.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:

  • Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
  • Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top five import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn)
  • Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)

Market Overview

Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.

Industry Trends and Developments

Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

Political Outlook

The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.

Company Profiles*

Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.


The Freight Transport reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

Benefit from discounts when you add multiple products to your basket
2 Products SAVE 10%
3 Products SAVE 15%
4 Products SAVE 20%
5 Products SAVE 25%
6 Products SAVE 30%
7 - 20 Products SAVE 35%
21 Products or more SAVE 40%