Cameroon Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Cameroon Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,195.00

Core Views

  • Economic expansion in Cameroon is accelerating, and we predict that real GDP grow will be 4.6% in 2014. The country's economy will outperform its Central African peers, averaging 4.8% growth between 2014 and 2018.

  • Faltering oil production and high import demand will cause Cameroon's current account deficit to widen to 6.0% in 2014. We expect the shortfall to remain relatively stable over the coming years.

  • High spending on capital projects will keep the country's fiscal deficit wide. The shortfall could expand rapidly if the government is unable to control spending on costly fuel subsidies.

  • The Banque des √Čtats de l'Afrique Centrale cut its core interest rate by 250 basis points to 3.25%. While we do not expect that the cut will have a significant impact on the regional economy, further loosening is likely in 2014.

Key Risks To Outlook

  • Escalating violence in the Central African Republic poses a threat to Cameroon's eastern province. We believe that the government will succeed in preventing a major breakdown of political authority, but a larger-than-expected influx of refugees could destabilise the region.

  • New oil discoveries could lead to a significant change to our balance of payments and government revenue forecasts.

Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Full Steam Ahead As Growth Peaks In 2016
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal And Debt Outlook
11
Fiscal Profligacy No Cause For Concern
11
TABLE: FISCAL POLICY
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
12
External Trade And Investment Outlook
13
Deficit Deepens In Another Year Of Weak Export Growth
13
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT
14
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
15
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS IMPORTS IN 2014
16
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS EXPORTS IN 2014
16
Monetary Policy
17
Currency Stability To Keep Rates Unchanged
17
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY
17
Monetary Policy Framework
18
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
21
The Cameroon Economy To 2025
21
Trend Growth To Remain Strong
21
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
21
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
Domestic Politics
26
Boko Haram Threat To Continue In 2016
26
Long-Term Political Outlook
27
Stability Threatened Both At Home And Abroad
27
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
29
SWOT Analysis
29
Operational Risk Index
29
Operational Risk
30
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
30
Trade Procedures And Governance
31
TABLE: SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA - TRADE PROCEDURES AND GOVERNANCE RISK
32
Vulnerability To Crime
33
TABLE: IMPORT AND EXPORT DOCUMENTS
33
TABLE: TRADE PROCEDURES BREAKDOWN
33
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
37
Global Macro Outlook
37
Unfinished Business In 2016
37
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
37
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
38
TABLE: BMI VERSUS BLOOMBERG CONSENSUS REAL GDP GROWTH FORECASTS, %
38
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
39
TABLE: CAMEROON - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
41

Assess your risk exposure in Cameroon with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Cameroon with confidence.

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