Cameroon Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Cameroon Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,195.00

Core Views

  • Economic expansion in Cameroon is accelerating, and we predict that real GDP grow will be 4.6% in 2014. The country's economy will outperform its Central African peers, averaging 4.8% growth between 2014 and 2018.

  • Faltering oil production and high import demand will cause Cameroon's current account deficit to widen to 6.0% in 2014. We expect the shortfall to remain relatively stable over the coming years.

  • High spending on capital projects will keep the country's fiscal deficit wide. The shortfall could expand rapidly if the government is unable to control spending on costly fuel subsidies.

  • The Banque des États de l'Afrique Centrale cut its core interest rate by 250 basis points to 3.25%. While we do not expect that the cut will have a significant impact on the regional economy, further loosening is likely in 2014.

Key Risks To Outlook

  • Escalating violence in the Central African Republic poses a threat to Cameroon's eastern province. We believe that the government will succeed in preventing a major breakdown of political authority, but a larger-than-expected influx of refugees could destabilise the region.

  • New oil discoveries could lead to a significant change to our balance of payments and government revenue forecasts.

Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Fixed Investment And Stronger Exports To Buoy Growth
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Stable Fiscal Position Despite Higher Expenditure
11
TABLE: FISCAL AND GOVERNMENT DEBT FORECASTS
11
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
11
Outlook On External Position
12
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
12
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT FORECASTS
12
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS IMPORTS IN 2014
13
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS EXPORTS IN 2014
13
Monetary Policy Framework
14
TABLE: LONG TERM MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
14
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
17
The Cameroon Economy To 2025
17
Growth Outlook Stable As Infrastructure Pipeline Pays Off
17
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
17
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
21
SWOT Analysis
21
BMI Political Risk Index
21
Domestic Politics
22
Calls For Early Elections Highlight Succession Risk
22
Long-Term Political Outlook
23
Stability Threatened
Stability Threatened
Both At Home And Abroad
23
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
25
SWOT Analysis
25
Operational Risk Index
25
Operational Risk
26
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
26
Market Size and Utilities Analysis
27
TABLE: SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA - MARKET SIZE AND UTILITIES RISK
28
Labour Costs
31
TABLE: REGULATIONS GOVERNING FLEXIBILITY OF WORKFORCE
32
Chapter 5:BMI Global Macro Outlook
35
Global Macro Outlook
35
Brexit Risk Casts A Long Shadow
35
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
35
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
36
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
37
MACROECONOMIC FORECAST
39
TABLE: CAMEROON - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
39

Assess your risk exposure in Cameroon with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Cameroon with confidence.

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