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BMI Aluminium Report

BMI Aluminium Report

BMI view: We have revised our aluminium price forecast from USD1,575/tonne to USD1,600/tonne in 2016, as the tightening market provided an earlier than expected floor in Q 116. Aluminium prices will gradually edge higher as ...
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BMI Copper Report

BMI Copper Report

BMI View: We have revised down our average copper price forecast for 2016 to USD4,900/tonne. We expect prices to find a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, supported by production ...
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BMI Gold Report

BMI Gold Report

BMI View: Gold prices will prove resilient in 2016 due to a dovish shift in global monetary policy and elevated systemic financial sector risks. However, we do not foresee a sustained multi-year recovery and the mining ...
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BMI Lead Report

BMI Lead Report

BMI View: Lead prices will gradually edge higher as the global lead market will shift into deficit by 2017 as production growth will slow over the coming years. BMI Lead Price Forecast Current* 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019 ...
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BMI Nickel Report

BMI Nickel Report

BMI View: Nickel prices will bottom in 2016 as weak production drags the global market into deficit. For instance, we expect Chinese imports of nickel to grow over the coming quarters. Prices will begin 2016 weaker than ...
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BMI Steel Report

BMI Steel Report

BMI View: Global steel prices will remain subdued due to a persistent steel oversupply over the coming quarters. From 2017 onwards, steel prices will gradually edge higher as the global steel surplus will narrow due to ...
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BMI Tin Report

BMI Tin Report

BMI View: Tin prices will be capped by US dollar strength in 2016 , leading us to trim our price forecast to USD14,500/tonne. Beyond 2016, prices will recover gradually as the global tin market posts sustained market ...
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BMI Zinc Report

BMI Zinc Report

BMI View: We maintain our average zinc price forecast for 2016 of USD1,750/tonne. We expect zinc prices to reach a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, as production cuts shift ...
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Canada Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Canada Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: Road freight will once again lead the way in terms of y-o-y growth in the Canadian freight mix in 2016, a scenario we envisage to remain the same over our medium-term forecast period. Canada ...
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Canada Tourism Report

Canada Tourism Report

BMI View: A pick up in arrivals from the US will drive Canada's tourism market in 2016, with stronger US arrivals leading to an overall increase in visitors to Canada. We expect the hotels and ...
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What Went Wrong For Opinion Pollsters In 2015?

What Went Wrong For Opinion Pollsters In 2015?

General elections are typically the biggest event in the political calendar of any country. Opinion polls are by and large the only tool analysts, investors, and commentators have in predicting election outcomes. As such, when ...
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Canada Country Risk Report

Canada Country Risk Report

Assess your risk exposure in Canada with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will ...
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Canada Agribusiness Report

Canada Agribusiness Report

BMI View: We retain a positive outlook for the Canadian agricultural sector. The Canadian grains and beef sectors will be among the winners of the Trans-Pacific Partnership and these expanded export opportunities wi ll support ...
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Canada Autos Report

Canada Autos Report

BMI View: Light vehicle sales growth will be limited to 0.5% in 2016 as the slowdown in the hydrocarbon industry spills over to vehicle demand in some of the most oil heavy provinces. Production will be given ...
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Canada Commercial Banking Report

Canada Commercial Banking Report

BMI View: Light vehicle sales growth will be limited to 0.5% in 2016 as the slowdown in the hydrocarbon industry spills over to vehicle demand in some of the most oil heavy provinces. Production will be given ...
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Canada Defence & Security Report

Canada Defence & Security Report

BMI View: Canad i a n defence spending will be modest in 2016 but an improvement on the four consecutive years of negative growth the country has experienced since 2012. However, amid the government's ongoin g ...
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Canada Food & Drink Report

Canada Food & Drink Report

BMI View: Although Canada , as an energy exporter, has been negatively affected by low oil prices , we believe the outlook for the food, drink and grocery retail markets remains reasonably attractive. There are notable opportunities, ...
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Canada Information Technology Report

Canada Information Technology Report

BMI View: Following a 2.5% increase in spending in 2015, we predict that IT spe nding in Canada will grow by 3.0 % in 2016 to reach a total market value of CAD63.73bn in local currency terms. We believe ...
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Canada Infrastructure Report

Canada Infrastructure Report

BMI View: The Canadian construction industry will recover in 2016 as the Liberal government spends big on infrastructure projects in a bid to stimulate the economy. However, we note downside risk to this forecast as the 2016 ...
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Canada Insurance Report

Canada Insurance Report

BMI View: We continue to hold a positive and stable outlook for the Canadian insurance industry. The Canadian insurance industry is large and well developed, and benefits from the presence of some of the leading ...
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