Canada Food & Drink Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food & drink industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index, Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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Canada Food & Drink Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: While 2015 marks the nadir of Canada's oil-related economic slowdown, we project a low average growth trajectory over the coming years. This is because despite early indications that a weaker exchange rate and stronger US demand are driving up vehicle and consumer goods exports , there are no signs of higher fixed investment into Canada's non-commodit ies sector thus far. We forecast average annual real GDP growth of 1.7% between 2015 and 2019, in contrast to an average growth rate of 2.5% in the preceding five years. The food market is set to be an underperformer in Canada over our forecast period, with stronger growth in drinks and mass grocery retail.

Headline Industry Forecasts (local currency)

  • 2015 per capita food consumption growth = +1.1% year-on-year (y-o-y); forecast compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019 = +1.4%;

  • 2015 alcoholic drink value sales growth = +2.2% y-o-y; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +3.6%;

  • 2015 soft drink value sales growth = +3.3% y-o-y; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +3.8%;

  • 2015 mass grocery retail sales growth = +2.7% y-o-y; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +3.0%.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food
9
Drink
11
Mass Grocery Retail
13
Industry Forecast
15
Consumer Outlook
15
Food
17
Food Consumption
17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2012-2019)
18
Confectionery
18
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2012-2019)
19
Canned Food
19
Processed Fish
20
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables
20
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)
21
Oils & Fats
21
Dairy
21
Drink
22
Alcoholic Drinks
22
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)
23
Soft Drinks
24
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Canada 2014-2019)
25
Hot Drinks
25
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)
25
Mass Grocery Retail
26
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)
27
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type, %
27
Trade
28
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)
28
Macroeconomic Forecasts
29
Macroeconomic Forecast
29
Table: Canada Macroeconomic Forecasts
32
Table: Average Oil Price Forecasts (USD/bbl)
34
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts
37
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts
38
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts
38
Table: Net Exports Forecasts
39
Market Overview
40
Food
40
Food Consumption
40
Food Processing
40
Confectionery
41
Dairy
42
Drink
44
Alcoholic Drinks
44
Soft Drinks
45
Hot Drinks
46
Mass Grocery Retail
47
Leading Players
47
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Canada 2006-2010)
48
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Canada 2006-2015)
49
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Canada 2006-2015)
49
Industry Trends And Developments
50
Food
50
Drink
61
Mass Grocery Retail
65
Competitive Landscape
70
Table: Key Players In Canada's Food Sector
70
Table: Key Players In Canada's Drinks Sector
71
Table: Key Players In Canada's Mass Grocery Retail Industry
72
Company Profile
73
Saputo
73
George Weston Ltd
76
Maple Leaf Foods
79
Corby Spirit And Wine Ltd
82
Cott Corp
84
Loblaw Companies Ltd
87
Metro Inc
90
Sobeys
93
Walmart
96
Global Industry Overview
99
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry
102
Table: Boston Beer Company, Ab Inbev, Heineken And Sabmiller - Selected Trailing Return And Efficiency Ratios
110
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q215 Roundup
115
Demographic Forecast
117
Demographic Outlook
117
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Canada 1990-2025)
118
Table: Key Population Ratios (Canada 1990-2025)
118
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Canada 1990-2025)
119
Table: Population By Age Group (Canada 1990-2025)
119
Table: Population By Age Group % (Canada 1990-2025)
120
Glossary
122
Food & Drink
122
Mass Grocery Retail
122
Methodology
124
Industry Forecast Methodology
124
Sector-Specific Methodology
125
Sources
125
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
126
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
127
Table: Weighting
128

The Canada Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Canada Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Canada.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Canada to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Canadian food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Canada through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Food Forecasts

BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

  • Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
  • Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
  • Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.