Canada Telecommunications Report

Published 26 June 2015

  • 99 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Canada Telecommunications Report

BMI View: The regulator has blocked attempts by Rogers , Bell Wireless and Telus to acquire the smaller players in the market, such as WIND and Mobilicity , resulting in the new entrants struggling to remain afloat and offer challenge to three established operator . I n this environment BMI believes it to be unlikely that a fourth large operator will emerge. In the fr equency auction in March 2015, WIND, Eastlink and Videotron all managed to boost their spectrum holdings significantly, but BMI is still sceptical of the emergence of a strong fourth market player. With some of the hi ghest ARPUs in the world, a low- cost strategy would have some success in attracting subscribers. However, the Canadian market is predominantly postpaid and 3G/4G focused, with customers willing to pay higher rates for better quality, speed and coverage.

Key Data

  • Since the second half of 2014 Telus has outperformed all other operators in terms of net additions with 413,000 new subscribers up to Q115, meanwhile MTS was the only operator to shed subscriptions. All other operators have reported net additions over the last nine months.

  • That said, considerable progress was made in migrating customers to higher value plans, which has resulted in a modest uptick in average revenues per user (ARPUs), as well as sales of smartphones. As Rogers, Bell, Telus, MTS and SaskTel have fixed infrastructure they can leverage to upsell additional or converged services, they are in a largely unassailable position and can therefore justify the considerable expense in building out their 4G LTE networks.

Key Trends And Developments

In May 2015, nine operators were selected as provisional licence winners in the Broadband Radio Service (BRS) spectrum auction in the 2,500-2,690MHz band. Of the 318 licences auctioned, the operators have won 302 licences, worth CAD755.37mn (USD626.49mn). The licensing is especially aimed at providing broadband services in rural...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT Analysis
9
Mobile SWOT
9
Political
11
Economic
12
Industry Forecast
13
Mobile
13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2012-2019)
13
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
18
Developed Markets Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index - Q3 2015
18
Table: Developed Markets Risk/Rewards Index, Q315
21
Market Overview
22
Mobile
22
Table: Canada Regional Comparison, 2013
23
Key Developments
23
Market Growth
24
Market Shares
26
Table: Mobile Market Operators KPIs, Q115
26
ARPU
28
Networks
30
Table: 700MHz Spectrum Auction Results
33
Mobile Content
35
Mobile Operators Table
38
Table: Canada Mobile Market ('000)
38
Table: Rogers Wireless
38
Table: Bell Wireless
39
Table: Telus Wireless
41
Table: SaskTel Mobility
42
Table: MTS Mobility
43
Wireline
44
Table: Local & Long-Distance Revenue By Category (CADmn)
45
Market Shares
45
Broadband
48
Pay-TV
52
Table: Canada Pay-TV Market
53
Table: Pay-TV Market By Operator ('000)
55
Table: Pay-TV ARPU (CAD/Month), latest data available
55
Industry Trends And Developments
56
Regulatory Development
59
Regulatory Overview
59
Table: Division Of Regulatory Responsibilities In Canada
60
Regulatory Developments
62
Table: Selected Regulatory Developments
67
Competitive Landscape
69
Table: Key Players - Canada Telecoms Sector
69
Table: Selected Operators' Financial Indicators (USDmn)
70
Company Profile
71
Bell Canada Enterprises Inc (BCE)
71
Rogers Communications
76
Telus
82
Demographic Forecast
88
Demographic Outlook
88
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Canada 1990-2025)
89
Table: Key Population Ratios (Canada 1990-2025)
89
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Canada 1990-2025)
90
Table: Population By Age Group (Canada 1990-2025)
90
Table: Population By Age Group % (Canada 1990-2025)
91
Glossary
93
Table: Glossary Of Terms
93
Methodology
95
Industry Forecast Methodology
95
Sources
97
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
97
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
98
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
99

The Canada Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Canada's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Canada Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Canada.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Canada to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Canadian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Canada's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Canada.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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