Caucasus Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Caucasus Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Azerbaijan, Georgia, Armenia with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Azerbaijan, Georgia, Armenia with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
BMI Index League Tables
9
Core Views
11
Key Risks
11
Chapter 1
13
Economic Growth Outlook
13
Growth Accelerating Despite Headwinds
13
DP By Expenditure Outlook
14
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
14
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
14
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
15
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
15
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
15
Chapter 1
17
The Armenian Economy To 2025
15
Convergence To Stall
17
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
17
Chapter 1
19
Domestic Politics
19
President To Consolidate Powers Amid Unrest
19
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
19
Long-Term Political Outlook
21
Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict To Stay At Centre Stage
21
Chapter 2
25
Economic Growth Outlook
25
Foreign Currency Shortages Pointing Towards Another Devaluation
25
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
26
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
26
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
26
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
27
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
27
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
27
Chapter 2
29
The Azeri Economy To 2025
29
Weak Growth Up To 2025
29
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
29
Chapter 2
31
Domestic Politics
31
Constitutional Referendum: President Aliyev Tightening His Grip
31
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
31
Long-Term Political Outlook
33
Everything Hinges On Nagorno-Karabakh
33
Chapter 3
37
Economic Growth Outlook
37
Consumer-Led Recovery On Its Way
37
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
38
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
38
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
39
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
39
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
39
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
39
Chapter 3
41
The Georgian Economy To 2025
41
Foreign Investment To Support Growth
41
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
41
Chapter 3
43
Domestic Politics
43
Parliamentary Election Results To Confirm Pro-Western Path
43
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
43
Long-Term Political Outlook
45
Pro-Western Path To Continue Despite Mounting Opposition
45
Chapter 4: BMI Global Macro Outlook
49
Global Macro Outlook
49
Broad Recovery But Three Notes Of Caution
49
TABLE: GLOBAL FORECASTS, 2015-2020
49
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
50
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
51
TABLE: ARMENIA - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
53
TABLE: AZERBAIJAN - MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
53
TABLE: GEORGIA - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
53