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BMI Aluminium Report

BMI Aluminium Report

BMI view: We have revised our aluminium price forecast from USD1,575/tonne to USD1,600/tonne in 2016, as the tightening market provided an earlier than expected floor in Q 116. Aluminium prices will gradually edge higher as ...
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BMI Copper Report

BMI Copper Report

BMI View: We have revised down our average copper price forecast for 2016 to USD4,900/tonne. We expect prices to find a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, supported by production ...
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BMI Gold Report

BMI Gold Report

BMI View: Gold prices will prove resilient in 2016 due to a dovish shift in global monetary policy and elevated systemic financial sector risks. However, we do not foresee a sustained multi-year recovery and the mining ...
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BMI Iron Ore Report

BMI Iron Ore Report

BMI View: Globally, iron ore prices will remain subdued due to weak demand growth in China and expanding output by major miners in Australia and Brazil. China will see output slow as the country's ...
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BMI Lead Report

BMI Lead Report

BMI View: Lead prices will gradually edge higher as the global lead market will shift into deficit by 2017 as production growth will slow over the coming years. BMI Lead Price Forecast Current* 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019 ...
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BMI Nickel Report

BMI Nickel Report

BMI View: Nickel prices will bottom in 2016 as weak production drags the global market into deficit. For instance, we expect Chinese imports of nickel to grow over the coming quarters. Prices will begin 2016 weaker than ...
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BMI Steel Report

BMI Steel Report

BMI View: Global steel prices will remain subdued due to a persistent steel oversupply over the coming quarters. From 2017 onwards, steel prices will gradually edge higher as the global steel surplus will narrow due to ...
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BMI Tin Report

BMI Tin Report

BMI View: Tin prices will be capped by US dollar strength in 2016 , leading us to trim our price forecast to USD14,500/tonne. Beyond 2016, prices will recover gradually as the global tin market posts sustained market ...
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BMI Zinc Report

BMI Zinc Report

BMI View: We maintain our average zinc price forecast for 2016 of USD1,750/tonne. We expect zinc prices to reach a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, as production cuts shift ...
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China Freight Transport & Shipping Report

China Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: We hold a positive outlook for the Chinese economy and the trade sector as a whole, but we caution that the Chinese economic slowdown will negatively affect the freight transport sector due to ...
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China Into The 2020s: Scenarios For Reform

China Into The 2020s: Scenarios For Reform

The first path is one in which the president continues to amass more power, but opts to forego deeper, badly needed economic reforms in favour of safeguarding his own interests and maintaining stability. The second ...
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China: The Provinces Powering Asia's Largest Economy

China: The Provinces Powering Asia's Largest Economy

China's economy is mired in a protracted slowdown, and we forecast economic growth to average 6.1% perannum out to 2019, which is substantially lower than the average 8.5% registered over the past five years. This slowdown is largely ...
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China Country Risk Report

China Country Risk Report

Assess your risk exposure in China with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will ...
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China Consumer Electronics Report

China Consumer Electronics Report

BMI View: The forecast for China's consumer electronics devices market was negatively impacted by a revision in the assessment for the CNY/USD exchange rate in the Q216 update, with our Country Risk team ...
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China Defence & Security Report

China Defence & Security Report

BMI View: China's defence industry and military are currently undergoing substantial changes on the back of President Xi Jingping's sweeping reform and modernisation agenda. The promotion of greater civil-military integration will spur military ...
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China Food & Drink Report

China Food & Drink Report

BMI View: China will remain the most attractive consumer market globally despite the slowdown in its economy. Nonetheless, the period of easy growth is over as retail sales growth heads lower and consumers develop increasingly ...
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China Insurance Report

China Insurance Report

BMI View: China's insurance market continues to present enormous growth potential. Although the volumes of premiums written in both the life and non-life sector are high, actual rates of penetration and density remain low ...
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China Oil & Gas Report

China Oil & Gas Report

BMI View: China's long-term crude oil and liquids output will remain on a firm downtrend as low oil prices slowdown exploration and render certain high-cost mature and unconventional plays uneconomic. Outlook is more positive ...
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China Petrochemicals Report

China Petrochemicals Report

We expect China's petrochemicals industry to come under pressure from cooling Chinese economic growth over the coming years. Petrochemicals producers will struggle to survive in the face of falling profit margins, sluggish demand and ...
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China Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report

China Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report

BMI View: Ongoing challenges facing multinational pharmaceutical firms in China will persist into 2016. This includes pricing pressures on off-patented pharmaceuticals, as authorities look to meet the unmet medical need in the country by expanding access ...
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