China Autos Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotive industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Autos Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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China Autos Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: The SUV sub-segment will continue to drive passenger vehicle sales in 2016 as China, the biggest automotive market in the world, continues to grow to 2020. The growth in passenger vehicle sales will continue to attract production investment into the segment, while an overall slowing in industrial activity and infrastructure growth limits commercial vehicle sales.

Passenger Vehicle sales Outperforming
Total Vehicle Sales (units), Passenger Vehicle Sales And Commercial Vehicle Sales Growth (% chg y-o-y) (2014-2020)
f = BMI forecast. Source: CAAM, BMI

Key Views

  • The ongoing rebalancing of the economy towards consumption- rather than investment-led growth will see the passenger car continuing to outperform commercial vehicles over 2016-2020.

  • Total vehicle sales and total vehicle production grew 8.1% and 6.5% respectively for H116.

  • Domestic vehicle production will continue to closely track domestic vehicle demand as companies invest to produce specifically for the Chinese market.

  • The removal of the 50% ownership cap in the motorcycle industry will lay the groundwork for the removal of the same policy in the car industry.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
10
Industry Forecast Scenario
10
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020)
10
Latest Developments
10
Structural Trends
10
Passenger Cars
14
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020)
14
Latest Developments
14
Structural Trends
14
Commercial Vehicles
17
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020)
17
Latest Developments
17
Structural Trends
17
Motorcycles
19
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020)
19
Latest Developments
19
Structural Trends
19
Industry Trend Analysis
20
Industry Risk/Reward Index
25
ASEAN Grouping Reflects Potential
25
Mature Stability Still A Draw
26
Company Profile
27
Daimler
27
Ford Motor
28
Shanghai GM
29
Volkswagen
30
Regional Overview
31
Asia Overview
31
Table: Asia Autos Production Investments
31
13th Five-Year Plan
34
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points
34
Summary Of Contents
34
Chapter 1: Overview
35
Table: Targets
35
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development
36
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions
37
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector
38
Chapter 5: Industries
39
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy
40
Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network
40
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation
41
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development
42
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection
43
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up
43
Others
43
Demographic Forecast
45
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)
46
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)
46
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025)
47
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)
47
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025)
48
Methodology
50
Industry Forecasts
50
Sector-Specific Methodology
51
Sources
51
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
52
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
53

The China Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

BMI Research's China Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in China.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on China to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Chinese automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Chinese automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in China.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the autos sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end- 2019 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Sales and production of motorcycles in units; total production of units; production by vehicle type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total vehicle fleet size in units; sales by vehicle type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles; fleet size by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicles and motorcycles; total vehicle trade balance in units; vehicle trade balance by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle; car ownership measured as car density per 1,000 people.

BMI’s Autos Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each indices explained.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2019 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company  developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country  investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Sources

The Autos reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as manufacturing associations, statistical bureaus, government transport ministries, national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.