China Autos Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotive industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Autos Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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China Autos Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: We expect a rebound in auto sales in 2016 as the recent tax cut for the purchase of small cars helps to boost consumer sentiment and leads to a rise in sales. We forecast auto sales to grow 4.4% in 2016 to 24.3mn units.

Passenger Car Sales
(2013-19)
f = BMI forecast. Source: CAAM, BMI

Key Views

  • The ongoing rebalancing of the economy towards consumption rather investment-led growth will see the passenger car continuing to outperform CVs over 2016-19.

  • SUVs will continue to be an outperforming sub-segment

  • Domestic brands will have the advantage in the near term by offering more affordable models.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
9
Production And Sales
9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2019)
9
Latest Developments
9
Structural Trends
9
Alternative Fuel
10
Passenger Cars
11
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2019)
12
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers
12
Structural Trends
12
Table: Age Demographics Of Auto Loan Users
15
Commercial Vehicles
15
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2019)
15
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers
15
Motorcycles
17
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2019)
17
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
19
Asia - Risk/Reward Index
19
Company Profile
22
Daimler
22
Ford Motor
23
Shanghai GM
24
Volkswagen
25
Regional Overview
26
Asia Overview
26
Table: Asia Autos Production Investment
26
India Regains Momentum
27
EVs Still Central For China
27
Demographic Forecast
29
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)
30
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)
30
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025)
31
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)
31
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025)
32
Methodology
34
Industry Forecasts
34
Sector-Specific Methodology
35
Sources
35
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
36
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
37

The China Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

BMI Research's China Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in China.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on China to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Chinese automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Chinese automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in China.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the autos sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end- 2019 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Sales and production of motorcycles in units; total production of units; production by vehicle type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total vehicle fleet size in units; sales by vehicle type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles; fleet size by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicles and motorcycles; total vehicle trade balance in units; vehicle trade balance by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle; car ownership measured as car density per 1,000 people.

BMI’s Autos Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each indices explained.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2019 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company  developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country  investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Sources

The Autos reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as manufacturing associations, statistical bureaus, government transport ministries, national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.