China Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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China Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in China with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in China with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
GDP Still Under Pressure Despite Government Support
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
10
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
10
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
11
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
11
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Local Governments' Fiscal Revenues Facing Downside Risks
11
Structural Fiscal Position
13
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
13
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
13
External Trade And Investment Outlook
14
CNY Bear Market Has Further To Go
14
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
14
Outlook On External Position
16
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
16
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
17
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT & IMPORT PARTNERS
17
TABLE: MAIN EXPORTS & IMPORTS
17
Monetary Policy
18
Gradual Easing Despite Rising Property Bubble And Inflation Concerns
18
Monetary Policy Framework
19
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
19
Contents
Contents
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
21
The Chinese Economy To 2025
21
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
21
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
25
SWOT Analysis
25
BMI Political Risk Index
25
Domestic Politics
26
Xi's Elevation To Further Strengthen His Position
26
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
26
Long-Term Political Outlook
27
Major Challenges Over The Coming Decades
27
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
31
Operational Risk
31
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
31
Business Crime
32
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN CHINA
34
Government Intervention
36
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES
38
TABLE: PERSONAL INCOME TAX
39
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Trumponomics Takes Centre Stage
41
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
TABLE: CHINA - MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
45