China Defence & Security Report

Published 11 May 2015

  • 68 pages
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$1,295.00
China Defence & Security Report

BMI View: China has continued its assertion of dominance in the South China Sea over several incidents in the past year. This has raised tensions between its Asian neighbours as well as the U.S. and has even caused a standoff between militaries. Although China has begun to make political moves, deals and visits to ease these tensions, many speculate that these are more for show rather than sincere negotiations. Again, little is truly known about China's domestic situation due to its blockade against news leaving the country.

China's defensive position and plans are difficult to fully confirm due to China's secrecy on such matters. Like many aspects of its defence posture, China keeps its annual defence budget secret, nevertheless, it is possible to make an accurate estimate regarding what the country spends annually on defence. China is one of the worlds largest spenders on defence but its significant rivals, the U.S., claim that China still has the disadvantage in terms of size and quality of equipment.

As we enter 2015, China has had a tempestuous year with several incidents causing tensions and aggressive responses in regards to not only the South China Sea but China's alleged cyber attacks against American security firms.

China has reassessed and reasserted its friendship with Russia as they have agreed to perform naval exercises in the Mediterranean Sea. This goes hand in hand with reports that China's naval strength (in terms of numbers) could overtake that of the U.S. by 2020. The tension between China and the U.S. has become increasingly tense over the past few years and this agreement with Russia has done nothing but add fuel to that fire. The agreement shows a joint venture that could further include military equipment from Russia and general production from China being exchanged; thereby helping to more extensively arm the two countries in the process, a worry that these arms will be used in China's sovereignty disputes.

In regards to other...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food
9
Drink
11
Mass Grocery Retail
12
Industry Forecast
14
Consumer Outlook
14
Food
16
Food Consumption
16
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (China 2012-2019)
17
Confectionery
17
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (China 2012-2019)
18
Drink
20
Hot Drinks
20
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (China 2014-2019)
21
Alcoholic Drinks
22
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (China 2014-2019)
23
Soft Drinks
24
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (China 2014-2019)
26
Mass Grocery Retail
28
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (China 2014-2019)
29
Trade
30
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (China 2014-2019)
31
Macroeconomic Forecast
32
Economic Activity
32
Industry Risk Reward Index
37
Asia Pacific - Risk/Reward Index
37
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q315
39
China Risk/Reward Index
42
Market Overview
43
Food
43
Food Production
43
Instant Noodles
43
Confectionery
43
Trade
44
Agriculture
44
Dairy
45
Organics
46
Drink
47
Soft Drinks
47
Hot Drinks
48
Alcoholic Drinks
49
Mass Grocery Retail
53
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (China 2006-2015)
54
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (China 2006-2015)
55
Leading Players
55
Industry Trends And Developments
58
Food
58
Key Industry Trends And Developments
58
Drink
60
Key Industry Trends And Developments
60
Mass Grocery Retail
64
Key Industry Trends And Developments
64
Competitive Landscape
65
Table: Key Players In China's Food & Drink Sector
65
Table: Key Players In China's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
66
Company Profile
67
Hsu Fu Chi
67
Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding
70
China Foods Ltd
73
Tsingtao
76
Wahaha
79
Kweichow Moutai
82
Sun Art Retail Group
84
Global Industry Overview
86
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q115 Roundup
93
Demographic Forecast
95
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)
96
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)
96
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025)
97
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)
97
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025)
98
Glossary
100
Food & Drink
100
Mass Grocery Retail
100
Methodology
102
Industry Forecast Methodology
102
Sector-Specific Methodology
103
Sources
103
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
104
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
105
Table: Weighting
106

The China Defence & Security Report features BMI Research's independent forecasts for national and international security, the defence industry, military expenditure, employment in arms production, and arms imports and exports, as well as examining industry trends and prospects, national and multinational arms producers and the regulatory environment.

BMI's China Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Chinese defence and security industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent defence and security industry forecasts on China to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Chinese defence and security market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Asia defence and security sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Asia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

Global and Regional Political Outlooks

A strategic overview of the world’s major political risks, identifying countries facing leadership successions and nations at risk of upheaval, inter-state conflict, or separatism and insurgencies, plus a summary of the world’s ‘wild card’ low-probability high-impact risks.

SWOT Analysis

Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting the defence and security sectors, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry indicators supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Defence Expenditure: Defence expenditure (local currency and USDbn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure per capita (USD); defence budget (local currency and USDbn).
  • Armed Forces (to 2012): Manpower available for military service, manpower fit for militaryservice, army personnel, navy personnel,air force personnel, total armed forces, (‘000) (% population).
  • Arms Trade: Arms and ammunition exports and imports (USDmn); bombs, grenades and missiles exports and imports (USDmn); revolver and pistol exports and imports (USDmn); weapons excluding guns and swords exports and imports (USDmn).

Political Risk Assessment

Drawing on BMI’s heritage of more than 25 years of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.

Security Risk Analysis

BMI’s proprietary Security Risk Indices provide investors with a reliable and country-comparable guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious, or prolonged, terrorist campaign.

Armed Forces Spending/ Expenditure

The reports contain a detailed breakdown of areas of expenditure by the armed forces, these include spending on international deployments, WMDs and missile defence systems as well as individual breakdowns of the cost-per-soldier.

Competitive Landscape

The domestic security overview lists the various potential internal security threats facing a country, ranging from internal security issues such as terrorism, cyber terrorism, crime and drugs, to external security issues including general defence procedures and potential threats from specific countries. The reports also provide a regional overview which details specific issues and flashpoints affecting the Americas, along with potential risks in the coming year.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Defence & Security Market reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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