China Information Technology Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the information technology industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, Information Technology Risk Reward Index, Macroeconomic Forecast, Company Profiles and Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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China Information Technology Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: Data for 2015 and t he forecast for 2016 were revised down in the Q216 update but our core scenario continues to be for an expanding Chinese IT market and local industry. Despite heightened uncertainty we expect a stronger growth trend in 2016 as the hardware market gains momentum and envisage a CAGR of 8.1% for 2016-2020 as a whole. A hard landing is a downside risk, but under our core scenario we envisage broad based income growth, enterprise modernisation , and government support for the IT industry, and particularly emerging technologies such as cloud computing and the internet of things will drive market expansion over the medium term. The overall outlook is positive but opportunities will not be distributed evenly and challenges for foreign vendors operating in China as it pursues its national interest will remain a factor.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

  • Computer Hardware Sales: CNY592.1bn in 2016 to CNY735.5bn in 2020, a CAGR of +5.2% in local currency terms. Market maturity means growth will be slower than the decade to 2013, but rising incomes has upside for vendors to focus on higher price and margin PCs in the retail market.

  • Software Sales: CNY100.8bn in 2016 to CNY164.5bn in 2020, CAGR of +11.9%. Rising labour costs and broader dynamic of enterprise modernisation will underpin increased software spending, while cloud delivery models offering lower costs and more flexibility will deepen the market.

  • IT Services Sales: CNY253.7bn in 2016 to CNY415.8bn in 2020, CAGR of +12.7%. Corporate investments and state support for development of Chinese cloud computing industry will drive IT services outperformance.

Economic Uncertainty Only Small Drag On The IT Market
China IT Market Forecast
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: BMI
BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
IT SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
11
Latest Developments
11
Structural Trends
11
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2020)
17
Industry Risk/Reward Index
18
Table: IT RRI Score Breakdown By Region
19
Table: Asia Pacific IT Risk/Reward Index - Q2 2016
21
Market Overview
22
Hardware
22
Software
28
Cloud Computing
34
Table: China Cloud Vendor Developments, 2015
39
IT Services
40
Industry Trends And Developments
44
Regulatory Development
48
Table: Government Authority
48
Regulatory Developments
50
Competitive Landscape
52
International Companies
52
Table: Apple
52
Table: Foxconn
53
Local Companies
54
Table: Inspur
54
Table: Neusoft
55
Table: Yonyou Software
56
Regional Overview
57
Demographic Forecast
61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)
62
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)
62
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025)
63
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)
63
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025)
64
Methodology
66
Industry Forecast Methodology
66
Sources
68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
68
Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators
69
Table: Weighting Of Components
70

The China Information Technology Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts covering personal computers and software; semi-conductors, memory chips, integrated circuits and general components; the internet and IT solutions. It analyses analyses regulatory changes (licensing, customs and intellectual property protection) and competitive landscapes comparing IT companies by products, sales, market share, investments, projects and expansion strategies.

BMI's China Information Technology Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, IT associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the IT industry in China.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent IT Industry forecasts for China to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Chinese IT market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in China's IT sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in China.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering IT, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the IT sector and within the broader telecommunications, political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

  • IT Sector: Industry value (USDmn); IT sector contribution to GDP (%); value of hardware, software and services industry (USDmn); PC, peripherals and software imports and exports (USDmn); PC, peripherals and software sales (USDmn); number of PCs (‘000); PCs per 100 inhabitants; internet users (‘000); internet users per 100 inhabitants; broadband subscribers (‘000); broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants.
  • Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (USDbn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against USD).

Information Technology Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide technology manufacturers, service providers, and IT vendors/leasing agents looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Country Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sectors including hardware, software and services; overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments and government authority.

BMI Macroeconomic Forecast

BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators to end-2019 including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape

Full analysis of the competitive landscape within the hardware, software and services sectors.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Regional Overview

Cross-border analysis of country markets in the region, commenting on IT penetration (PC and internet) and market growth drivers (IT market size and IT market compound growth).

Sources

The information Technology Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.