BMI View: China's insurance market continues to record healthy growth rates, in both the life and non-life sectors and we hold a broadly positive outlook for the market over the medium term and beyond. Rising average household income rates are boosting the sales of a variety of non-life products, particularly health and motor insurance which lead the non-life sector, with solid growth also expected in the smaller lines, such as credit and financial guarantee insurance . Higher incomes are also expected to stimulate sales in the life sector, along with rising demand from an ageing population. While growth in the Chinese economy has slowed, it remains one of the strongest markets in the region and will continue to attract investors, keen to take advantage of the potential offered by this huge and still expanding insurance market.
|Gross life premiums written, CNYbn||942.51||1,090.17||1,324.15||1,401.99||1,531.25||1,665.53||1,801.05||1,936.99|
|Gross life premiums written, CNY, % y-o-y||5.8||15.7||21.5||5.9||9.2||8.8||8.1||7.6|
|Gross life premiums written, USDbn||153.29||176.93||210.70||206.27||213.41||229.73||248.42||267.17|
|Gross life premiums written, USD, % y-o-y||8.6||15.4||19.1||-2.1||3.5||7.6||8.1||7.6|
|Gross non-life premiums written, CNYbn||779.71||933.31||1,104.10||1,226.05||1,367.25||1,525.94||1,702.89||1,899.97|
|Gross non-life premiums written, CNY, % y-o-y||18.5||19.7||18.3||11.0||11.5||11.6||11.6||11.6|
|Gross non-life premiums written, USDbn||126.81||151.47||175.69||180.38||190.56||210.47||234.88||262.06|
|Gross non-life premiums written, USD, % y-o-y||21.6||19.5||16.0||2.7||5.6||10.5||11.6||11.6|
Key Updates And Forecasts
Insurance giant Chubb has entered into a preferred distribution agreement with leading Chinese retail group Suning - the partnership intends to focus on accident and health, travel, property and personal device insurance products which will be distributed via Suning's 1,700 retail stores and online customer base where it has 230mn registered customers.
Retail giant Alibaba is expanding into the insurance market, setting up Alibaba Health - a joint venture between China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd, Alibaba (China) Technology and Shanghai Yunfeng. The company will be focused upon internet based health insurance.
Health insurance will be one of the key drivers of growth in the non-life market over the medium term, along with the dominant motor insurance line. Overall we expect non-life insurance premiums to grow by an average of 11.5% annually between 2016 and 2020, in local currency terms.
Slower growth is expected in the life insurance market, where we expect premiums to grow by 7.9% annually between 2016 and 2020, in local currency terms, boosted by rising household income rates and positive demographic trends.
The China Insurance Report has been researched at source and features BMI Research's independent assessment and forecasts for the insurance sector. It examines industry developments, key growth drivers and risk management projections, including the macroeconomic situation, government policy, regulatory environment and the level of development and potential for growth, broken down by line. Leading insurers are profiled, covering premiums, products and services and competitive positioning.
BMI's China Insurance Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Chinese insurance industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent insurance industry forecasts for China to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in China's insurance market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in China through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, investments and macroeconomic developments.
- Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the Life and Non-Life segments, the evolving competitive landscape and business operational risks.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the insurance sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2005-2014) and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:
- Life/non-life Premiums: Total premium growth (USDmn), premium growth (% y-o-y), penetration (% of GDP), density (USD per capita) for Life and Non-Life sectors, claims reinsurance, and assets and liabilities.
- Non-life subsectors: Data on gross written premiums for all major Non-Life segments (motor, transport, property, personal accident, health, general liability and credit financial).
BMI’s Insurance Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (Life and Non-Life) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
Growth Drivers & Risk Management Projections
Key data and forecasts to end-2019 focusing on the growth drivers and downside risks to specific insurance lines including:
- Population: Male/female, by age group, active/pensionable/youth population % of total, urban/rural population % of total.
- Freight: Tonnage – air freight, rail freight, road freight, inland waterway.
- Motor: Fleet size by type of vehicle % change y-o-y.
- Epidemiology: Disease Adjusted Life Years and private health expenditure.
Market Overview & Rankings
Illustration of the insurance industry via rankings tables comparing gross written premiums by company (USDmn) and market share (%) for the top 20 players in both Life and Non-Life. This chapter also includes in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the leading insurance companies.
The insurance Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.