China Shipping Report

Published 22 July 2015

  • 100 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
China Shipping Report

BMI View: China will continue to be the most important market for global container shipping in 2015 and over the years to come. Although there are some risks to the export picture, we expect positive growth across the country's many major box ports, which dominate the global top 10 . China's economic growth in the coming decade will be much slower than in the last, as the savings rate declines, the economic liberalisation process slows and population growth falls. These dynamics will result in real GDP growth averaging 6.0% over the next decade as opposed to the 10.1% average seen over the past decade. Private consumption will be a major outperformer, averaging growth of 8.1% and rising in importance as a share of GDP. This is good news for the country's container shipping sector, which should see a boost in volumes as a resul t.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2015 port of Shanghai tonnage throughput forecast to grow 2.8%, with container growth of 6.2% forecast for the year.

  • 2015 port of Shenzhen container throughput forecast to enlarge by 2.5%, with average growth of 2.5% during our forecast period to 2019.

  • 2015 real trade growth forecast at 7.0% - a very slight decrease from 2014's estimated 7.1%.

Key Industry Trends

KPT Enters MoU With Largest Seaport In Chi na: Pakistan's Karachi Port Trust (KPT) and the Chinese seaport of Guangdong Province have entered a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to enhance ports and shipping connectivity. 'It is another concrete step leading to the materialisation of China Pakistan Economic Corridor project,' said KPT Chairman Shafqat Jawed. The Guangdong Provincial Transportation Department and KPT aim to promote cooperation in port and shipping logistics, improve communications and boost relations between the two Asian nations. It is hoped that the MoU will enhance local logistics networks, reduce congestion and simplify cargo handling operations and infrastructure development projects. BMI notes that China has been...

BMI Industry View
7
China - Q315
7
SWOT
10
Shipping
10
Political
12
Economy
13
Operational Risk
14
Industry Forecast
16
Port Of Shanghai Throughput
16
Port Of Shenzhen Throughput
20
Table: Major Ports Data (2012-2019)
21
Table: Trade Overview (2012-2019)
25
Table: Key Trade Indicators (2012-2019)
26
Table: Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
28
Table: Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
29
Market Overview
30
China - Q315
30
Company Profile
37
Sinotrans
37
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
41
Shipping - Global Industry View
50
Three Container Routes To Watch In 2015
50
Global Company Strategy
57
Maersk Line
57
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
68
CMA CGM
74
Evergreen Line
83
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
91
Macroeconomic Forecast
99
Economic Activity
99
Demographic Forecast
104
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)
105
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)
105
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025)
106
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)
106
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025)
107

The China Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in China.

BMI's China Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in China.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for China to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Chinese shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in China through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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