China Telecommunications Report

Published 10 November 2015

Quarterly report providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecommunications industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast Scenario, Telecommunications Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Regulatory Environment, Company Profiles and Competitive

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position.

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China Telecommunications Report
Product Price

BMI View : China has officially entered the 4G era in 2015 with greater than anticipated subscriber growth. Large subscriber bases will provide ample room for operators to generate revenue and 4G subscriber growth has mainly been generated through the migration of existing 3G customers to LTE networks. Government efforts to invite private competition into the fixed and mobile sectors, as well as mandate the state-owned operators to reduce data prices and improve network speeds will be positive for growth in the Chinese telecoms market.

4G Subscription Growth Propels Mobile Market
China Mobile Market Forecasts
e/f = BMI estimates/ forecasts. Source: Operators/BMI research

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

  • The MIIT reports that 4G subscribers reached 302.4mn in Q315, a 157% growth over the 9-month period ended September 2015. Subscriber numbers released by individual operators show that market leader China Mobile leads the race with a 81.9% share of the 4G market, whilst China Unicom and China Telecom have shares of 3.6% and 14.5% respectively. We believe 3G/ 4G subscribers will reach 772.45mn by end-2015 and rise to 1.09bn by 2019.

  • The expansion of fixed broadband networks will be supported by the government through funding and opening up of the sector to private competitors. This will lead to the growth in broadband subscribers from 212.31mn at end-2015 to 263.49mn by 2019, though subscriber growth will be outstripped by mobile data.

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BMI Industry View
Industry SWOT
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (China 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia Pacific Risk/ Reward Index - Q4 2015
Outperformers (1-10)
Average-Performers (11-20)
Underperformers (21-28)
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index - Q415
Market Overview
Wireline Voice & Broadband
Wireline Broadband
Regulatory Development
Table: China Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Key Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: China Telecoms Market Key Players
Table: China Telecoms Operator Revenues, 2006-2014 (USDmn)
Mobile Operator Data
Table: China Mobile Market Overview
Table: China Mobile
Table: China Unicom
Table: China Telecom
Company Profile
China Telecom
China Mobile
China Unicom
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

The China Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of China's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's China Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in China.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for China to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Chinese telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in China's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in China.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.


The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.