Colombia Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Colombia Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Colombia with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Colombia with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Stabilising Oil Prices & Capital Inflows Will Drive Recovery
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Monetary Policy
11
Hiking Cycle Peaked
11
Monetary Policy Framework
12
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
13
External Trade And Investment Outlook
14
Current Account Will Remain Tied
Current Account Will Remain Tied
To Oil
14
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
15
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS EXPORTS
16
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS IMPORTS
16
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
17
Weak Oil Revenues Will Underpin Deficits
17
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
17
Structural Fiscal Position
18
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
19
Currency Forecast
20
COP: Pace Of Appreciation To Moderate As Oil Takes A Breather
20
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
21
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
23
The Colombian Economy To 2025
23
Structurally Weaker Growth Following Oil Bust
23
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
23
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
27
SWOT Analysis
27
BMI Political Risk Index
27
Domestic Politics
28
Ceasefire Agreement Signals Peace Process Nearing A Close
28
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
28
Long-Term Political Outlook
29
Many Structural Challenges Ahead
29
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
31
SWOT Analysis
31
Operational Risk Index
31
Operational Risk
32
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
32
Market Size and Utilities
33
TABLE: LATIN AMERICA - MARKET SIZE AND UTILITIES
34
Labour Costs
37
TABLE: LABOUR REGULATIONS GOVERNING FLEXIBILITY OF WORKFORCE
38
Chapter 5:BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Brexit Risk Casts A Long Shadow
41
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
MACROECONOMIC FORECAST
45
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
45