Colombia Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Colombia Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Colombia with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Colombia with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
FARC Peace To Offer Long-Term Benefits
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE : GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Fiscal Challenges Await Post-Conflict Colombia
11
Structural Fiscal Position
12
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
13
External Trade And Investment Outlook
14
Oil Rebound And Currency Weakness To Narrow Current Account Deficit
14
TABLE: 2016 OPERATIONAL RISK INDEX
14
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
15
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS EXPORTS
16
TABLE : TOP 5 GOODS IMPORTS
16
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
17
Monetary Policy
17
BanRep To Commence Easing In 2017
17
TABLE : MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
18
Monetary Policy Framework
18
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
19
Currency Forecast
20
COP: Outlook To Remain Neutral Ahead Of Long-Term Strengthening
20
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
20
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
23
The Colombian Economy To 2025
23
Structurally Weaker Growth Following Oil Bust
23
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
23
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
27
SWOT Analysis
27
BMI Political Risk Index
27
Domestic Politics
28
'No' Vote In Referendum Will Add To Uncertainty
28
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
28
TABLE: EXPECTED TIMELINE OF KEY EVENTS
29
Long-Term Political Outlook
30
Many Structural Challenges Ahead
30
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
33
SWOT Analysis
33
Operational Risk Index
33
Operational Risk
34
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
34
Business Crime
35
TABLE: MAIN ACTIVE CRIMINAL GROUPS IN COLOMBIA
36
TABLE: BUSINESS RESPONSE TO RISK IN COLOMBIA
37
Government Intervention
39
TABLE: BUSINESS TAXES IN COLOMBIA
39
TABLE: INCOME TAX RATE (FOR RESIDENTS)
40
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
43
Global Macro Outlook
43
Broad Recovery But Three Notes Of Caution
43
TABLE: GLOBAL FORECASTS, 2015-2020
43
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
44
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
45
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
47