Colombia Shipping Report

Published 21 May 2015

  • 89 pages
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$1,295.00
Colombia Shipping Report

BMI View: The strong growth registered across Colombia's main ports in 2014 is set to continue over the course of 2015. The largest port in the country at Cartagena is set to see the largest rate of year-on-year (y-o-y) tonnage throughput growth in 2015, with healthy gains of over 7%, while the second main port in Colombia, at Buenaventura, will be the outperformer in terms of container throughput growth (4.75%). That said, these forecasts are down on the estimated growth seen in 2014. Our forecasts are predicated on the fact that Colombian real GDP growth will slow dramatically in 2015, as the impact of weaker oil production and lower oil prices weighs on trade dynamics and undermines consumer confidence.

In the coming year, the deterioration of Colombia's oil sector will weigh on investment inflows and swing the goods trade position into its deepest deficit in more than two decades. Thereafter the outlook will brighten slowly, with a flexible exchange rate regime, improvements in transport infrastructure, which we envisage boosting the port sector going forward in terms of an enhanced supply chain and a reduction in security risks encouraging a gradual rebalancing of the current account and boosting foreign direct investment.

Headline Industry Data

  • The port of Cartagena will see total tonnage volume increase by 7.71% to 22.92mn tonnes in 2015 and will average growth of 5.90% to 2019.

  • Container traffic at Cartagena will grow by 3.00% to 2.28mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) in 2015. Growth to 2019 will average 5.66%.

  • Tonnage volume at the Pacific port of Buenaventura will rise by 3.31% to 12.14mn tonnes in 2015, while container traffic will rise by 4.75%, to reach 699,179TEUs.

Key Industry Trends

APL Introduces New Service To Link Central America With US East Coast - On May 20 2015, APL introduced a new weekly shipping service aimed at expanding its network coverage in the Americas. The new service, dubbed the America Caribbean Express (ACX)...

BMI Industry View
5
Colombia - Q314
5
SWOT
7
Colombia - Q315
7
Political
9
Economic
10
Operational Risk
11
Industry Forecast
13
Port Of Cartagena Throughput
13
Port Of Buenaventura Throughput
16
Table: Major Ports Data (Colombia 2012-2019)
19
Table: Trade Overview (Colombia 2012-2019)
20
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Colombia 2012-2019)
20
Table: Colombia's Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
21
Table: Colombia's Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
22
Market Overview
23
Colombia Container Shipping Market Overview
23
Shipping - Global Industry View
30
Three Container Routes To Watch In 2015
30
Global Company Strategy
37
Maersk Line
37
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
48
CMA CGM
54
Evergreen Line
63
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
71
Macroeconomic Forecasts
79
Economic Analysis
79
Table: Economic Activity (Colombia 2010-2019)
84
Demographic Forecast
85
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Colombia 1990-2025)
86
Table: Key Population Ratios (Colombia 1990-2025)
86
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Colombia 1990-2025)
87
Table: Population By Age Group (Colombia 1990-2025)
87
Table: Population By Age Group % (Colombia 1990-2025)
88

The Colombia Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Colombia.

BMI's Colombia Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Colombia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Colombia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Colombian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Colombia through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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