Croatia Shipping Report

Published 18 September 2015

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Croatia Shipping Report

BMI View: We forecast positive growth this year at Croatia's main port, the Port of Rijeka, both in terms of tonnage and box throughput. While tonnage growth looks set to plateau at a steady 3%, we see relatively high box throughput growth tapering off in the medium term. Growth in the shipping sector remains hampered by Croatia's poor economic outlook as one of the worst performing eurozone economies. BMI's forecast for the economy puts 2015 GDP growth at 0.3%, although this will rise marginally in 2016 to 1.0%.

Steady Growth At Rijeka In Short Term

We have revised up our forecasts for the Port of Rijeka up from last quarter, at 2.7% for tonnage throughput and 8.2% for box throughput now expected in 2015. However, in the medium term stronger growth this year could be slightly misleading, as in tonnage terms it looks set to plateau while in box throughput our previously more positive growth forecast looks set to drop by around half by 2019. Our outlook for growth at Croatia's other ports is even less rosy in the short term. Tonnage at the port of Sibenik will post similar growth to Rijeka, although the outlook for the Port of Ploce shows very marginal tonnage growth and a contraction of 2.3% in container throughput, although in all areas at these two ports growth looks set to stay on a slow but upward trajectory in the medium term.

For 2015 we continue to forecast GDP growth of 0.3%, edging up our forecast slightly in outlook for 2016, at 1.0%. However, Croatia remains vulnerable in a stand-still scenario. Lower oil prices and a gradual eurozone recovery, particularly after the recent avoidance of a 'Grexit' scenario, continue to work in Croatia's favour. However, with elections scheduled for early 2016 the current centre-left government will be unlikely to target ongoing productivity problems in the Croatian economy in the very short-term. Wages are likely to remain high (at least by regional standards) and exports will remain relatively expensive, leading...

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of Rijeka Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Croatia 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Croatia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Croatia 2012-2019)
Table: Croatia's Top Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: Croatia's Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Market Overview
Croatia Container Shipping Market Overview
Shipping - Global Industry View
Three Container Routes To Watch In 2015
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Croatia 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Croatia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Croatia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Croatia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Croatia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Croatia 1990-2025)

The Croatia Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Croatia.

BMI's Croatia Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Croatia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Croatia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Croatian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Croatia through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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