Czech Republic Power Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the power.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

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Czech Republic Power Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View : We forecast that total electricity generation in the Czech Republic is set to decline by an annual average of 2.2% throughout our 10-year forecast period. A lack of new power plants planned, decommissioning of nuclear reactors and the lack of economic viability for renewable electricity underlines t his forecast. By the end of 2025 , we expect Czech Republic to become a net-importer of electricity.

Headline Power Forecasts (Czech Republic 2015-2021)
2015e 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f 2021f
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: National Sources, BMI
Generation, Total, TWh 85.140 84.730 84.080 83.670 83.250 77.650 79.880
Consumption, Net Consumption, TWh 62.0 63.3 64.4 65.7 66.8 67.8 68.7
Capacity, Net, MW 20,783.7 20,815.8 20,832.7 20,871.0 20,923.0 20,250.0 20,627.3

Latest Updates and Structural Trends

  • We have fully included the 841 megawatt (MW) Pocerady combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) into our forecasts from 2021 onwards. Although the plant is currently only utilised as a backup source of generation in case of electricity shortages, we forecast it will be utilised full-time as some of the ageing nuclear power plants are decommissioned.

  • Unit 1 of the Dukovany Nuclear Power Plant has been licensed to operate further, for an indefinite timeframe. We do not currently alter our nuclear power generation forecasts due to flawed safety checks at the nuclear reactors which have led to the power plants operating below capacity.

  • US-based supplier, Westinghouse, has won the contract to supply the fuel for CEZ Holdings' Temelin nuclear power plant after lead test assemblies determined that alternative nuclear fuels were compatible with the reactor.

  • We are maintaining our muted forecasts for non-hydropower renewable electricity in Czech Republic. We do not forecast growth in renewable electricity after the Czech Regulatory Office's (ERU) statements that it will only make feed-in-tariff (FiT) payments available to power plants that have been approved by the European Commission (EC). We forecast that generation from non-hydropower renewables will total up to 6.2 terawatt hours (TWh) in 2025, from a level of 6.1TWh in 2016.

  • We are maintaining our forecasts for transmission and distribution losses over our 10-year forecast period. We forecast losses to decrease from 4.7% of total electricity generation in 2016 to 3.3% in 2025.

BMI Industry View
7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Czech Republic 2015-2021)
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Czech Republic Snapshot
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Czech Republic 2015-2020)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Czech Republic 2020-2025)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
10
Czech Republic Power Forecast Scenario
11
Thermal Generation And Power Generating Capacity
11
Nuclear Generation And Power Generating Capacity
12
Renewables Generation And Power Generating Capacity
15
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2019)
16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2020-2025)
17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2019)
18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2020-2025)
18
Electricity Consumption
19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2019)
19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2020-2025)
19
Transmission & Distribution
20
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2019)
21
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2020-2025)
21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2019)
21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2020-2025)
21
Industry Risk/Reward Index
22
Regional Risk Reward Index
22
Czech Republic Power Risk/Reward Index
28
Rewards
28
Risks
28
Market Overview
30
Key Policies And Market Structure
30
Regulation And Competition
30
Sustainable Energy Policies
31
Pricing
33
Table: Half-yearly Electricity And Gas Prices, H2, 2012-2014 (EUR per kWh)
34
Czech Republic Power Projects Database
35
Table: Czech Republic - Top Power Projects By Capacity
35
Competitive Landscape
36
-EZ
36
-EPS
37
PRE
37
E
37
Company Profile
38
-EZ
38
Table: -EZ's Strategic Programmes
39
Regional Overview
42
Europe - CEE Power: Affordable Coal To Trump Renewables
42
Table: Turkey - Ambitious Renewables Targets
44
Glossary
46
Table: Glossary Of Terms
46
Methodology
47
Methodology And Sources
47
Industry Forecast Methodology
47
Sources
50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
50
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
52

The Czech Republic Power Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Czech Republic Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Czech Republic to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks Czech Republic's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Czech Republic.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Power Forecast Scenario

Forecasts to end-2024 for all key indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts:

  • Generation: Electricity generation total, thermal, coal, natural gas, oil, nuclear, hydropower, hydro-electric pumped storage and non-hydropower renewables.
  • Transmission and Distribution Losses: Electric power transmission and distribution losses.
  • Trade: Total imports and exports.
  • Electricity Consumption: Net consumption.
  • Electricity Capacity: Capacity net, conventional thermal, nuclear, hydropower and non-hydroelectric renewables.

BMI’s Power Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (power companies, service companies and equity investors) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors,

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; an assessment of the business operating environment, sustainable energy policies, pricing and the latest regulatory developments.

Key Projects Database

Details and analysis of all current and planned developments (new ventures, capacity expansion and other investments) across the sector broken down by location, sector type, capacity, value, companies and operational status.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the power industry that exploits our data-rich, in-depth analysis of the leading players in the sector and examination of operational results, strategic goals, market position and the potential for investment.

Power Outlook long-Term Forecasts

Regional long-term power forecasts covering electricity generation, consumption and capacity for thermal, hydroelectric and nuclear power. These are supported by a country specific  overview, alongside an analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts.

Regional Overview

Providing BMI’s near-term economic outlook for the region as a whole, as well as taking a close look at countries of particular interest and the latest trends and developments.

Sources

The Power Market Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports, including Energy Information Administration (EIA), World Bank (WB) and United Nations (UN).