Czech Republic Power Report

Published 16 March 2015

  • 54 pages
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$1,295.00
Czech Republic Power Report

BMI View: This quarter we have extended our forecast to 2024. This notwithstanding , o ur view on the Czech power market remains largely unvaried, while concerns over the country's energy security and carbon emissions profile move to the forefront.

The future of nuclear and renewables in the country looks increasingly uncertain as the development of sources experienced setbacks and questions about Czech energy security and its emissions profile are becoming more pronounced. With ageing domestic capacity scheduled to come offline over the coming two decades and EU regulations pressuring the country to lessen its dependence on coal, nuclear and renewables had appeared to be the preferred method to fill any future power gap. However, this is now in doubt, with the country showing inclinations to maintain an important share of coal-generated electricity in the mix. We further believe that the Czech Republic's export status could be in jeopardy as a result of a failure to build new power generation capacity.

Key Trends And Developments

  • Allowing for system losses (forecast at 4.88%in 2015 and expected to decrease to 3.56% by 2024, owing to new investment in the grid) power supply should continue to outweigh demand, enabling continued net exports to neighbouring states. This quarter, we expect Czech power generation to reach 83.30TWh in 2015 and expect it will increase by an annual average 0.11% between 2015 and 2024, to reach 83.41TWh. Industry Minister Jan Mladek stated in November 2014 that the debate over nuclear power leans to having one new block at each of the two nuclear power plants operated by CEZ, with the possibility of two different investors taking part. However, we highlight that the question is far from resolved as the new energy strategy published by the government at the end of December 2014 calls on the state to support and speed up building new blocks in existing locations with a combined capacity of up to 2,500 megawatts (MW). The updated...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Czech Republic Snapshot
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Czech Republic 2013-2018)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
10
Czech Republic Power Forecast Scenario
11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2012-2017)
11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
12
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2012-2017)
14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
15
Electricity Consumption
20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2012-2017)
20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
20
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
21
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2012-2017)
21
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2012-2017)
21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
22
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
23
CEE Power Risk/Reward Ratings
23
Table: CEE Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
28
Czech Republic Power Risk/Reward Ratings
29
Rewards
29
Risks
29
Market Overview
31
Key Policies And Market Structure
31
Regulation And Competition
31
Sustainable Energy Policies
32
Pricing
34
Table: Electricity Prices In the EU Member States, As Of March 2013
34
Czech Republic Power Projects Database
36
Table: Major Projects - Power
36
Competitive Landscape
37
CEZ
38
CEPS
38
PRE
38
E
38
Company Profile
39
-EZ
39
Table: CEZ's Strategic Programs
40
Regional Overview
43
CEE Power Regional Overview
43
Glossary
48
Table: Glossary Of Terms
48
Methodology
49
Methodology And Sources
49
Industry Forecast Methodology
49
Sources
52
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
52
Table: Power Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
55

The Czech Republic Power Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Czech Republic Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Czech Republic to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks Czech Republic's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Czech Republic.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Power Forecast Scenario

Forecasts to end-2024 for all key indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts:

  • Generation: Electricity generation total, thermal, coal, natural gas, oil, nuclear, hydropower, hydro-electric pumped storage and non-hydropower renewables.
  • Transmission and Distribution Losses: Electric power transmission and distribution losses.
  • Trade: Total imports and exports.
  • Electricity Consumption: Net consumption.
  • Electricity Capacity: Capacity net, conventional thermal, nuclear, hydropower and non-hydroelectric renewables.

BMI’s Power Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (power companies, service companies and equity investors) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors,

Market Overview

Structure, size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; an assessment of the business operating environment, sustainable energy policies, pricing and the latest regulatory developments.

Key Projects Database

Details and analysis of all current and planned developments (new ventures, capacity expansion and other investments) across the sector broken down by location, sector type, capacity, value, companies and operational status.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the power industry that exploits our data-rich, in-depth analysis of the leading players in the sector and examination of operational results, strategic goals, market position and the potential for investment.

Power Outlook long-Term Forecasts

Regional long-term power forecasts covering electricity generation, consumption and capacity for thermal, hydroelectric and nuclear power. These are supported by a country specific  overview, alongside an analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts.

Regional Overview

Providing BMI’s near-term economic outlook for the region as a whole, as well as taking a close look at countries of particular interest and the latest trends and developments.

Sources

The Power Market Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports, including Energy Information Administration (EIA), World Bank (WB) and United Nations (UN).

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc