Egypt Infrastructure Report

Published 29 June 2015

  • 73 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Egypt Infrastructure Report

BMI View: A growing and increasingly diversified construction project pipeline in Egypt will support solid industry growth in Egypt between FY2016 to FY2020. This outlook is premised on Egypt continu ing to receiv e external funding and we highlight labour market risks as a key challenge to projects realisation.

Foreign direct investment (FDI) as well as development assistance are critical to Egypt's infrastructure development. As political stability and policy clarity, as well as pent-up demand, entice investors back into the country, our Country Risk team expects a significant upswing in FDI inflows into Egypt over the coming quarters.

Key Trends And Developments

  • An unprecedented number of project announcements as well as financing deals to support infrastructure development in Egypt have prompted us to revise upwards our construction industry value forecasts from FY2016 (July 2015 to June 2016) to FY2020.

  • A total of 50 construction projects requiring more than USD70bn capital expenditure (capex) were presented at the Egyptian Economic Development Conference. Projects are on offer across all sectors and they are backed by strong government support.

  • Given Egypt's large and growing project pipeline, we believe the country will face capacity constraints most acutely in the labour market - a significant risk to project implementation.

  • Economic growth in Egypt will pick up over coming quarters on the back of relative political stability. Fixed investment will be the primary driver of growth as a result of greater clarity on the economic policy front. Our Country Risk team forecasts 2.6% GDP real growth in FY2014/15 and 4.1% in FY2015/16.

  • Cement production, which we use a proxy for construction activity, continues in an uptrend. We anticipate cement production and consumption to rise on the back of the expansion of the Suez Canal.

  • The tourism sector continues to be a significant component of Egypt's economy and a considerable source of value...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Infrastructure SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Egypt 2013-2018)
13
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Egypt 2019-2024)
14
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
18
Major Projects Table - Transport
24
Table: Major Projects Table - Transport
24
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
30
Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
34
Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
34
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
39
Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
43
Table: Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
43
Industry Risk Reward Index
49
Egypt - Infrastructure Industry Risk/Reward Index
49
Rewards
49
Risks
49
Security Risks In MENA Coming To The Fore
50
Table: MENA Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
55
Market Overview
56
Competitive Landscape
56
Table: Egypt - Company Financial Data
56
Company Profile
58
Arab Contractors
58
Orascom Construction Industries
60
Global Industry Overview
62
Project Risk Index: Robust Financing Establishes Outperformer Status
62
Table: Project Risk Index - Top 10 Markets
62
Table: Project Risk Index - Financing Risk, SSA Top 5
63
Table: Project Risk Index - Construction Risk, Asia-Pacific Top 5
64
Table: Project Risk Index - Operation Risk, Developed Markets Top 5
65
Methodology
66
Industry Forecast Methodology
66
Sector-Specific Methodology
67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
71
Sector-Specific Methodology
72
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
72
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
73

The Egypt Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Egypt Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Egyptian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Egypt to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Egyptian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Egyptian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Egypt.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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