Egypt Infrastructure Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Infrastructure industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast, BMI's Infrastructure Risk Reward Index, Market Overview and Company Profiles.

Why you should buy this report

  • Gain independent insight into the outlook for the infrastructure industry through BMI's 10 year forecasts
  • Understand the market through analysis of projects , investment plans and key players
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
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Egypt Infrastructure Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: Strong government support for PPPs and a growing infrastructure project pipeline reinforce our positive outlook for Egypt's construction industry in 2016. The recent deterioration in the security situation will have a direct impact on investment in the tourism industry and as such commercial construction projects are at risk of being delayed and cancelled.

Key Trends And Developments

  • We maintain our construction industry real growth forecast for Egypt in 2016 at 8%, given the large project pipeline and solid foreign investor interest in the market.

  • The Egyptian government has the announced that it will tender 12 public-private partnerships (PPP) in the next 12 months. According to the Egyptian Ministry of Finance's PPP Central Unit, the new PPPs will be worth around USD4bn and will cover projects across all sectors, particularly in the transport and energy infrastructure sectors.

  • China will become an increasingly prominent player in the development of Egypt's infrastructure sector over the next decade. Attractive financing deals and significant expertise in the development of large-scale infrastructure projects - particularly in the transport sector - will allow China to gain market share, considerably altering the competitive landscape.

  • Given Egypt's large and growing project pipeline, we believe the country will face capacity constraints most acutely in the labour market - a significant risk to project implementation.

  • Gross fixed capital formation, which is a good proxy for construction activity, is forecast to grow by 8% in FY2015/16.

Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Egypt 2014-2020)
2014 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f
f = BMI forecast. Source: National Sources, BMI
Construction industry value, EGPbn 88.93 107.43 125.68 144.34 162.45 180.02 196.38
Construction Industry Value, Real Growth, % y-o-y 5.60 9.80 7.99 7.34 6.55 6.32 5.09
Construction Industry Value, % of GDP 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.2

Risk/Reward Index

  • Egypt performs below average for the region in our Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index for the Middle East and North Africa, ranking 9th out of 14 countries, with an overall score of 50.7 out of 100.

  • Egypt scores only 45.0 for Industry Rewards, below the regional average of 50.7. This is mainly due to low capital investment as a percentage of GDP.

  • Egypt achieves a mediocre Country Risk score of 51.9, mainly due to widespread corruption and limited institutional capacity to process tenders and permits in a timely manner.

Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Egypt 2015-2015)
Geography Risk/Reward Index Rewards Industry Rewards Country Rewards Risks Industry Risks Country Risks
Source: BMI
Egypt 49 48 45 54 53 55 51
BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
6
Infrastructure SWOT
6
Industry Forecast
8
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
8
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Egypt 2013-2018)
10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Egypt 2019-2024)
11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
14
Table: Key Projects: Transport
19
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
27
Table: Key Projects: Energy & Utilities
31
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
39
Table: Key Projects: Construction & Social Infrastructure
43
Industry Risk Reward Index
52
Egypt - Infrastructure Industry Risk/Reward Index
52
Rewards
52
Risks
52
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
53
Table: MENA RRI Table
58
Market Overview
59
Competitive Landscape
59
Table: Egypt - Company Financial Data
59
Company Profile
61
Arab Contractors
61
Orascom Construction Industries
63
Global Industry Overview
66
Table: Infrastructure Key Themes 2015
66
Table: Asia: Key Reforms
71
Methodology
73
Industry Forecast Methodology
73
Sector-Specific Methodology
74
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
78
Sector-Specific Methodology
79
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
79
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
80

The Egypt Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Egypt Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Egyptian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Egypt to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Egyptian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Egyptian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Egypt.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.