Egypt Infrastructure Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Infrastructure industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast, BMI's Infrastructure Risk Reward Index, Market Overview and Company Profiles.

Why you should buy this report

  • Gain independent insight into the outlook for the infrastructure industry through BMI's 10 year forecasts
  • Understand the market through analysis of projects , investment plans and key players
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
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Egypt Infrastructure Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View : We expect Egypt's construction sector growth to accelerate in the coming years as an influx of development and external funding eases Egypt ' s fiscal deficit and facilitates continued government investment in infrastructure projects. We retain our optimistic growth outlook for Egypt ' s construction secto r over the remainder of our ten- year forecast period on the back of elevated levels of structural demand for infrastructure and the government ' s active solicitation of private capital via Public Private Partnership (PPPs), both of which will provide support to Egypt ' s ambitious infrastructure investment targets. A deterioration in t he country's security situation poses the largest downside risk to our otherwise bullish forecast.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

  • We have revised our 2016 construction sector growth forecast upwards to 9.7% to reflect an acceleration of construction activity and the disbursement of external funding. We expect broad-based growth across Egypt's construction spectrum over the long term, as Egypt's growing population increasingly strains the country's existing infrastructure.

  • The International Monetary Fund announced in August that it would extend a USD12bn loan over the next three years, alleviating pressure on Egypt's fiscal position.

  • Egypt's substantial housing deficit will continue to provide investment opportunities for private investors. Egypt's New Urban Communities Authority (NUCA) is set to invite 12 real estate developers to bid for a new phase of public-private partnership (PPP) projects, with an estimated total investment of USD25bn.

Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Egypt 2015-2025)
2015e 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f 2021f 2022f 2023f 2024f 2025f
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: National sources, BMI
Construction industry value, EGPbn 118.04 145.42 177.99 211.81 251.42 292.37 339.83 395.59 449.47 523.07 592.01
Construction Industry Value, Real Growth, % y-o-y 9.70 9.65 8.40 8.00 9.20 7.79 8.23 8.91 6.87 10.12 7.43
Construction Industry Value, % of GDP 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.5 6.6 7.0 7.2

Risk/Reward Index

  • Egypt performs below average for the region in our Infrastructure RRI for the Middle East and North Africa, ranking 9th out of 14 countries, with an overall score of 52.4 out of 100.

  • The country's Industry Rewards score improved to 50 in Q416, though it still ranks below the regional average of 51.6.

  • Egypt achieves a weak Country Risks score of 49.2, mainly due to widespread corruption and limited institutional capacity to process tenders and permits in a timely manner.

Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Egypt 2016)
Risk/Reward Index Rewards Industry Rewards Country Rewards Risks Industry Risks Country Risks
Source: BMI Risk Reward Index
52.4 52.8 50.0 58.1 51.5 55.0 49.2
BMI Industry View
5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Egypt 2015-2020)
5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Egypt)
6
SWOT
7
Infrastructure SWOT
7
Industry Forecast
9
Egypt - Maintaining A Positive Outlook For 2016
9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Egypt 2015-2025)
10
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
16
Table: Egypt: Key Transport Projects
21
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
22
Table: Key Projects: Energy & Utilities
28
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
28
Table: Key Projects: Construction & Social Infrastructure
34
Industry Risk Reward Index
35
Egypt - Infrastructure Industry Risk/Reward Index
35
Rewards
35
Risks
35
MENA Infrastructure RRI: Oil Prices And Security Remain Key Risks
36
Table: MENA RRI
43
Market Overview
44
Competitive Landscape
44
Table: Egypt - Company Financial Data
44
Company Profile
46
Arab Contractors
46
Orascom Construction Industries
48
Methodology
51
Industry Forecast Methodology
51
Sector-Specific Methodology
52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
56
Sector-Specific Methodology
57
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
58

The Egypt Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Egypt Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Egyptian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Egypt to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Egyptian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Egyptian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Egypt.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.