Egypt Telecommunications Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecommunications industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast Scenario, Telecommunications Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Regulatory Environment, Company Profiles and Competitive

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  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position.
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Egypt Telecommunications Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: An elusive agreement between Egypt's three mobile operators and the government has delayed the implementation of a unified licensing framework, which would enable Telecom Egypt to launch MVNO services and allow the mobile operators to expand into the wireline market.

Egypt's authorities and the country's telecoms operators are having a push to increase the uptake and quality of broadband services in the country. In November the Ministry of Communications & Information Technology (MCIT) announced plans to increase the country's internet penetration rate to 50% by the end of 2016 from 34% at present. The ministry also intended to add around 500,000 new internet users in the country by the end of 2015. MCIT expects to add 1.5mn broadband subscribers by the end of 2016, and also increase entry-level access speeds from 1Mbps to 2Mbps. Separately, government-backed Telecom Egypt (TE) reportedly aimed to replace copper cables with fibre optic cables for approximately 4mn households by the end of 2015. The move would allow TE to provide its subscribers with the latest communication services and techniques via boosting role of the fibre optic cables instead of the copper ones along with installing multi-service access node. BMI is predicting strong and steady growth in the uptake of broadband services, including wireline and mobile broadband offering, through to 2020. Improvements to infrastructure will contribute to the strong growth.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

  • In Q315 Egypt's mobile market shrank by 2.4% year-on-year (y-o-y), with 93.24mn subscriptions at the end of September 2015. Significant discounting of inactive SIMs contributed to those results. Our outlook for the country's mobile market remains subdued. We predict growth of just 1.9% in the twelve months to December 2016 and, by 2020, we forecast the market to be serving 98.9mn subscriptions, yielding a penetration rate of 98.4%.

  • In the five years to 2020, we believe average annual growth for Egypt's 3G subscriber market will be around 14.5%. By the end of 2020, we expect more than 39.73mn 3G subscriptions, accounting for 40.2% of the total mobile market.

  • Telecom Egypt is the leading provider of broadband services, with the operator reporting an impressive 33.5% y-o-y increase in ADSL subscriptions to September 2015. We predict that total broadband connections, including mobile broadband connections will reach 9.76mn by 2020, equivalent to a penetration rate of 9.7%.

3G/4G Subscriptions To Rise Steadily
3G/4G Subscriptions And Total Mobile Subscriptions, 2013-2020
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: National sources, BMI
BMI Industry View
7
Latest Updates And Industry Developments
7
SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
10
Latest Updates
10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts (Egypt 2013-2020)
10
Structural Trends
11
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
15
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Index
15
Table: Regional RRI Comparison, Q216
15
Table: MENA Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q216
18
Egypt Risk/Reward Index
19
Market Overview
21
Market Drivers And Trends
21
Mobile
22
Wireline Voice And Broadband
24
Regulatory Development
28
Regulatory Overview
28
Licensing
29
Content Control
29
Competitive Landscape
30
Table: Key Players - Egypt Telecoms Sector
30
Table: Vodafone
30
Table: Mobinil
31
Table: Etisalat Misr
32
Table: Telecom Egypt
32
Company Profile
34
Telecom Egypt
34
Mobinil
38
Vodafone Egypt
41
Demographic Forecast
44
Demographic Outlook
44
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025)
45
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025)
45
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025)
46
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025)
46
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025)
47
Glossary
49
Table: Glossary Of Terms
49
Methodology
51
Industry Forecast Methodology
51
Sources
53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
53
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
55

The Egypt Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Egypt's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Egypt Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Egypt.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Egypt to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Egyptian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Egypt's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Egypt.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.