Egypt Telecommunications Report

Published 15 June 2015

  • 85 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Egypt Telecommunications Report

BMI View: Inevitably, legal challenges and operator disinclination to commit to investing in wireline infrastructure have delayed the introduction of the new unified service licensing regime. This will delay Telecom Egypt 's move into the mobile services market which would have freed it from its joint venture with Vodafone and given it greater freedom to develop advanced convergence services. The mobile operators' decision to lease capacity on TE's fixed infrastructure and international gateways rather than take up unified licences reflects the difficulties anticipated in deploying costly duplicate networks that would add little value to existing offers. Nevertheless, some additional infrastructure is certainly required as TE would struggle to meet the increased demand for data traffic coming from operators in the future. The slowly improving political and economic climate may force a rethink in a few years' time, particularly as the anticipated auction of 4G spectrum in 2016 draws near.

Key Data

  • The mobile market contracted by 4.3% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) in Q314, yielding a user base of less than 95.7mn.

  • The wireline market contracted by around 7% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2014, owing to the disconnection of lines over unpaid bills; this is a recurring problem that affects the wireline broadband market, too.

  • The broadband market grew by 8.8% y-o-y in 2014, but momentum was lost in H214 as consumers churned away from dedicated mobile broadband connections to voice-and-data packages over smartphones.

Key Trends And Developments

Orange took control of Mobinil during Q115, increasing its ownership to 99%. This gives it greater control over its corporate strategy and encourages Orange to invest more in infrastructure and services in the country. The operator shed fewer subscribers than market leader Vodafone in 20 14, allowing it to narrow the gap in terms of market share. Both companies still harbour large numbers of inactive accounts and...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Political
10
Economic
11
Operational Risk
13
Industry Forecast
15
Mobile
15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
19
Industry Risk Reward Index
19
Table: SSA Risk/Reward Index - Q315
23
Market Overview
25
Mobile
25
Regional Perspective
25
Table: Regional Comparison Table, 2013
26
Key Developments
26
Mobile Growth
27
Market Shares
29
Table: Net Additions ('000)
30
ARPU
30
Networks
31
Content
33
Mobile Operator Data
36
Table: Market Overview
36
Table: Vodafone
37
Table: Mobinil
38
Table: Etisalat Misr
39
Mobile Content
40
Table: Selected Value-Added Services Developments, October 2014-January 2015
43
Wireline
45
Industry Trends And Developments
50
Table: Key Developments
51
Regulatory Development
53
Table: Egypt Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
53
Key Developments
55
Table: Key Regulatory Developments
57
Competitive Landscape
58
Table: Key Players - Egypt Telecoms Sector
58
Table: Egypt Financial Indicators
58
Company Profile
59
Telecom Egypt
59
Mobinil
63
Vodafone Egypt
66
Regional Overview
70
Demographic Forecast
74
Demographic Outlook
74
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025)
75
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025)
75
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025)
76
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025)
76
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025)
77
Glossary
79
Table: Glossary Of Terms
79
Methodology
81
Industry Forecast Methodology
81
Sources
83
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
83
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
84
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
85

The Egypt Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Egypt's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Egypt Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Egypt.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Egypt to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Egyptian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Egypt's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Egypt.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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