BMI View: This quarter has seen the extensive upgrading of our water sector forecasts for Egypt, which now include mains and sewage network connectivity, desalinated water production, non mains consumption and treated wastewater forecasts. We have also revised our existing forecasts to take the new data into account. Overall, we believe that the political recovery, and influx of financial support and foreign investment from various sources including the UAE and the US, will improve the country's economy, and increased stability will encourage sustained water infrastructure investment. Given the ongoing risks of reduced water availability due to the Ethiopian dam plans, we view the additional investment as crucial to boosting Egypt's water resources over the medium term.
The election of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi has been positive for Egypt's infrastructure development and the country's economy in general. Our Country Risk team expects a significant upswing in foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows into Egypt over the coming quarters as political stability and pent-up demand entice investors back into the country. Furthermore, President Sisi has indicated that infrastructure development is a top priority for his government and given the imminent threat of a reduction in the Nile flows following the completion of the contentious Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, we expect water infrastructure to be a central concern.
In our view, some form of compromise between Ethiopia and Egypt will be required, if a dangerous escalation of tensions is to be avoided. That compromise would likely entail Egypt turning its attention towards desalination projects - possibly with funding assistance from the World Bank - as a way to compensate for a reduced share of Nile waters. Such an increase in investment in desalination programmes will in any case likely be required, even if Egypt were to continue to tap its share of Nile waters. Such investment is relatively low, and the country...
The Egypt Water Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering public and private sector investment in all major water projects including water extraction, water distribution and water treatment and sanitation projects and also includes competitive intelligence. The report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Egypt.
BMI's Egypt Water Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the water industry in Egypt.
- Benchmark BMI's independent water industry forecasts for Egypt to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Egyptian water industry.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Egypt through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering regulatory changes, major investments and projects and signifi cant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into Water Extraction, Water Consumption and Water Treatment & Sanitation.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the water and wastewater sectors and the potential affects for industrial consumers, within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts
Historic data series (2011-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:
- Extraction: Total water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); underground water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); surface water extraction (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction).
- Consumption: Total water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); total mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); household water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (litres per household per day); total non-mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction); water losses total mains water consumption (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y) (% of total water extraction).
- Treatment: Total waste water discharged (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); treated discharged water (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); untreated discharged water (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); mechanically treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); biologically treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y); combined treated wastewater (mn cubic metres) (% growth y-o-y).
- economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (USDbn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against USD).
BMI’s Water Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (water management, water utility and water infrastructure companies) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
This is broken down into the following sectors:
- Water supply & Consumption: Where the water comes from, (rivers, springs, lakes, surface water, ground water and so on), key trends with regards to extraction, key trends with regards to overall water consumption, municipal or domestic consumption, and key industrial and agricultural consumption trends.
- Water distribution: This examines how the water is distributed – whether by municipalities, regional organisations or national companies, whether the water networks are nationalised or privatised, and key trends and developments.
- Water Treatment & sanitation: This section evaluates the country’s water pollution levels, the connectivity to water mains and sewage networks, the volumes and methods of water treatment, government initiatives with regards to treatment and sanitation processes and key projects, trends and developments.
- Regulations & Tariffs: Key national and regional legislations with regards to water pollution, extraction and distribution as well as an overview of water rates for domestic and industrial users.
Industry Trends & Developments
Analysis of latest projects across the water infrastructure sector including water and wastewater treatment plants, desalination facilities, mains water and sewage network expansions, dams, and hydropower plants.
Provides an overview of key government ministries overseeing the water sector together with regulatory organisations, alongside the central companies involved in water and wastewater distribution and treatment services in the country.
The Water Market Reports are based on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (UN, WB, IMF), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.