Ethiopia Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Ethiopia Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Ethiopia with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Ethiopia with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Strong Economic Growth Despite Floods
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Monetary Policy
10
Food Insecurity To Spur Rising Inflation
10
Monetary Policy Framework
11
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
12
Infrastructure Investment And Food Insecurity To Keep Fiscal Deficit Wide
12
Structural Fiscal Position
13
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES 2014
13
External Trade And Investment Outlook
14
Persistent Deficit To Fuel Debt Load
14
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOODS EXPORTS IN 2015
15
TABLE: TOP FIVE IMPORTS IN 2014
16
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
17
The Ethiopian Economy To 2025
17
Strong Growth In The Next Decade, But Limits To State Model
17
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
17
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
19
SWOT Analysis
19
BMI Political Risk Index
19
Domestic Politics
20
Public Dissent And Regional Terrorism Will Fuel Security Risk
20
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
20
Long-Term Political Outlook
22
More Armed Conflict Likely This Decade
22
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
25
SWOT Analysis
25
Operational Risk Index
25
Operational Risk
26
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
26
Economic Openness
27
TABLE: TOP 5 IMPORT PRODUCTS & IMPORT PARTNERS, 2010-2014, USDMN
27
TABLE: FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
28
TABLE: FREE TRADE ZONES AND INVESTMENT INCENTIVES
29
Availability Of Labour
31
TABLE: SSA - AVAILABILITY OF LABOUR
32
TABLE: ETHIOPIA'S TOP 10 SOURCE COUNTRIES FOR MIGRANT WORKERS
33
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
37
Global Macro Outlook
37
Summer Of Risk
37
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
37
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
38
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
39
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
41