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Austria Infrastructure Report

Austria Infrastructure Report

BMI View: Austria's construction industry will register a ninth consecutive year of negative growth in 2016, coming in at - 0.2 % and a value of USD 20.5 bn. From 2017 to the end of our forecast period in 202 5 , ...
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Belgium Infrastructure Report

Belgium Infrastructure Report

BMI View: Belgium is home to a diverse construction sector , and its position as a regional transport hub with an open financial market means that industry fundamentals are strong. We forecast steady growth in Belgium' ...
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BMI Aluminium Report

BMI Aluminium Report

BMI view: We have revised our aluminium price forecast from USD1,575/tonne to USD1,600/tonne in 2016, as the tightening market provided an earlier than expected floor in Q 116. Aluminium prices will gradually edge higher as ...
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BMI Copper Report

BMI Copper Report

BMI View: We have revised down our average copper price forecast for 2016 to USD4,900/tonne. We expect prices to find a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, supported by production ...
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BMI Gold Report

BMI Gold Report

BMI View: Gold prices will prove resilient in 2016 due to a dovish shift in global monetary policy and elevated systemic financial sector risks. However, we do not foresee a sustained multi-year recovery and the mining ...
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BMI Iron Ore Report

BMI Iron Ore Report

BMI View: Globally, iron ore prices will remain subdued due to weak demand growth in China and expanding output by major miners in Australia and Brazil. China will see output slow as the country's ...
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BMI Lead Report

BMI Lead Report

BMI View: Lead prices will gradually edge higher as the global lead market will shift into deficit by 2017 as production growth will slow over the coming years. BMI Lead Price Forecast Current* 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019 ...
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BMI Nickel Report

BMI Nickel Report

BMI View: Nickel prices will bottom in 2016 as weak production drags the global market into deficit. For instance, we expect Chinese imports of nickel to grow over the coming quarters. Prices will begin 2016 weaker than ...
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BMI Steel Report

BMI Steel Report

BMI View: Global steel prices will remain subdued due to a persistent steel oversupply over the coming quarters. From 2017 onwards, steel prices will gradually edge higher as the global steel surplus will narrow due to ...
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BMI Tin Report

BMI Tin Report

BMI View: Tin prices will be capped by US dollar strength in 2016 , leading us to trim our price forecast to USD14,500/tonne. Beyond 2016, prices will recover gradually as the global tin market posts sustained market ...
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BMI Zinc Report

BMI Zinc Report

BMI View: We maintain our average zinc price forecast for 2016 of USD1,750/tonne. We expect zinc prices to reach a floor over the first half of 2016, and begin to stabilise thereafter, as production cuts shift ...
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Bulgaria Power Report

Bulgaria Power Report

BMI View: Bulgaria's power sector is well developed with universal access to the grid and numerous cross-border connections to neighbouring states. The country is a net exporter and with domestic consumption set to grow ...
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Czech Republic Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Czech Republic Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: We expect all freight modes to grow in 2016 and maintain positive growth rates over the medium term, driven by improved domestic demand and recovering European economies. The strong performing Czech manufacturing sector will ...
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Denmark Infrastructure Report

Denmark Infrastructure Report

BMI View: The Danish construction sector will be a regional outperformer in the medium term , on the back of strong investment in the infrastructure sector , driving a solid project pipeline, with public and private financiers ...
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Denmark Power Report

Denmark Power Report

BMI View: This quarter our fundamental assumptions for Denmark continue to be relevant. Taking into account relatively positive macroeconomic expectations for the Nordic region as well as sector trends, we continue to expect power consumption ...
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Denmark Renewables Report

Denmark Renewables Report

BMI View: A slowing wind power sector, due to high penetration of intermittent wind in the power mix and muted power consumption growth, weighs on our outlook for overall non-hydropower renewables capacity growth in Denmark ...
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Finland Power Report

Finland Power Report

BMI View: This quarter our fundamental assumptions for Finland continue to be relevant. Taking into account relatively positive macroeconomic expectations for the Nordic region as well as sector trends, we continue to expect power consumption ...
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Finland Renewables Report

Finland Renewables Report

BMI View: We hold a relatively upbeat outlook for Finland's non-hydropower renewables segment, as strong political support for the biomass sector through the restructuring of the traditional forest-related industry, and potential for coal-to-biomass conversions ...
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Global Recession: A Realistic Scenario

Global Recession: A Realistic Scenario

BMI Research has just published this special report examining the risk of a global recession in 2016. While global recession is not our core scenario, the conditions for a recession are arguably in place, and downside ...
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Hungary Freight Transport & Shipping Report

Hungary Freight Transport & Shipping Report

BMI View: The year 2016 will see mixed results for Hungary's freight sector, with rail freight growing by a strong 4. 4 % and road and air freight seeing more moderate growth of 2. 2 % and 2. 8 % , respectively. The good performance ...
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