BMI View: The widening stage brought forward by Free's entry into the mobile market in 2012 is drawing to a close, with operators looking at deepening and upselling new services. All four operators have the advantage of being fully convergent, giving them a head-start to offer multiple services to single accounts. But other drivers also include M2M and the IoT, with Orange taking a lead in the segment, and leveraging its success to gain more net additions than its rivals. SFR will compete on quad-play and content, Bouygues on providing cheaper fixed broadband and advanced LTE, while Free will continue to offer pricing pressure through the launch of innovative services.
France has four fully converged operators offering fixed and mobile services to customers in the market. As it becomes saturated, operators will look to expend their premium services offers, as a way to increase revenues by upselling them to their customer base. A short-term focus will be on lowering churn, which is helped by the increased penetration of quad-play customers, with investments into new advanced technologies such as LTE and fibre also of importance. Moving ahead, operators will be looking to add a series of connected devices to their high-end customers, such as connected homes or connected cars, as a way to retain and improve profitability where customer growth declines. We also believe that consolidation will return to the agenda following the December 2015 auction for the 700MHz band, which will create clear winners and losers in the market.
For the first time, there were over 10mn M2M subscriptions in the French market as of Q315
The number of broadband connections accessing speeds above 100Mbps was of over 1mn, the first time it breached that mark
Convergence continues to dominate, with Orange reporting that 45% of mobile subscriptions and 48% of fixed broadband connections were on quad-play Open plans
|M2M Driving Growth|
|Orange Net Additions By Segment ('000), 2014-2015|
The France Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of France's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.
BMI's France Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in France.
- Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for France to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the French telecoms market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in France's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in France.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecast Scenario
Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
- Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
- Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
- Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.
BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
Market Data Analysis
Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:
- Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
- Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
- Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).
Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.