Germany Agribusiness Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the agribusiness industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, Supply & Demand Forecasts, Commodity Price Analysis and Company Profiles.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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Germany Agribusiness Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: We have made minor upwards revisions for the German agricultural sector in our Q116 update. We hold a general positive outlook for the industry. We believe the German agricultural system benefits from high levels of competitiveness, strong infrastructure and a very good farming knowhow. Grains, dairy and sugar will all stand to benefit this year and beyond. In the livestock sector, pork producers will be under pressure due to strained relations with Russia. Sugar and milk production will expand due to the removal of quotas in the years to come.

Key Forecasts

  • Corn consumption will grow by a healthy 5.5% in 2016 to reach 1.11mn tonnes.

  • Poultry production will grow by 2.2% in 2015/16 to reach 1.6mn tonnes.

  • We are estimating wheat production to grow by 6.0% in 2015/16 to reach 26.4mn tonnes, whereas sugar will grow by 5.0% to reach 27.5mn tonnes.

German Agribusiness Industry Values
2013-2019
Source: FAO
BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Agribusiness
9
Operational Risk
11
Industry Forecast
12
Grains Outlook
12
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Germany 2014-2019)
13
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Germany 2014-2019)
13
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Germany 2014-2019)
13
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Germany 2009-2014)
17
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Germany 2009-2014)
17
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Germany 2009-2014)
18
Livestock Outlook
19
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Germany 2014-2019)
20
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Germany 2014-2019)
20
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Germany 2014-2019)
21
Table: New Payment Schemes Under CAP Reforms
24
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Germany 2009-2014)
25
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Germany 2009-2014)
25
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Germany 2009-2014)
25
Dairy Outlook
27
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Germany 2014-2019)
28
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Germany 2014-2019)
28
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Germany 2014-2019)
29
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Germany 2009-2014)
32
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Germany 2009-2014)
32
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Germany 2009-2014)
32
Sugar Outlook
34
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Germany 2014-2019)
35
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Germany 2009-2014)
38
Commodities Price Analysis
39
Monthly Grains Update
39
Monthly Softs Update
43
Upstream Analysis
49
Europe GM Outlook
49
Europe Machinery Outlook
55
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)
57
Europe Fertiliser Outlook
60
Downstream Analysis
67
Mass Grocery Retail
67
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
68
Food
69
Food Consumption
69
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
69
Confectionery
69
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
71
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables
72
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
73
Snack Foods
74
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
74
Pasta
76
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
77
Dairy
77
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
78
Meat
80
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Germany 2012-2019)
81
Fish
81
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Germany 2012-2019)
82
Oils & Fats
83
Table: Oils & Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Germany 2012-2019)
83
Drink
85
Soft Drinks
85
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Germany 2012-2019)
87
Alcoholic Drinks
89
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
90
Hot Drinks
91
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
93
Regional Overview
94
Competitive Landscape
101
Table: Germany - Key Agribusiness Players
101
Demographic Forecast
102
Demographic Outlook
102
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025)
103
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025)
103
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025)
104
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025)
104
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025)
105
Methodology
107
Industry Forecast Methodology
107
Sector-Specific Methodology
108

The Germany Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Germany Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
  • Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the wider agricultural industry.

BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts

Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market, the chapter provides insight into each market’s agricultural industry, centred on sector forecasts to end-2019 for the consumption, production and trade of key commodities.

  • Consumption Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors, food processing trends, price movements and increasingly, demand from the non-food sector.
  • Production Forecasts: Examine the trends influencing BMI’s production outlook: global demand, price increases, public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
  • Trade Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country’s trade in agricultural goods, including domestic demand, global prices and government trade policies.
  • BMI’s Forecasts: Accompanied by a risks-to-outlook assessment, which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.

BMI’s Commodity Price Analysis

Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for eight agricultural commodities based on globally recognised benchmarks.

Downstream Analysis

Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts, including total food consumption, per capita food consumption and total sector trade, which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.

Featured Analysis

Includes relevant articles from BMI’s daily analysis service. These can include: long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports; our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country; our analysis of fertilizer production; as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events.

Competitive Landscape

The reports contain information on prominent companies operating in each market.

Key Commodities Covered By The Agribusiness Market

Reports Include: Grains, Dairy, Livestock, Rice, Sugar, Palm Oil, Edible Oils, Coffee, Cocoa, Cotton, Soybean

Please note – not all reports cover all commodities.

Sources

The Agribusiness reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.