Germany Autos Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotive industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Autos Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position
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Germany Autos Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View: We maintain our view that the strong consumer recovery, driven by increasing real wage growth and Germany's economic rebalancing from an export driven economy towards more private consumption, will drive growth in the passenger vehicle segment.

Passenger Vehicle Sales Set To Maintain Strong Growth
Passenger Vehicle Sales
f = BMI forecast. Source: VDA, BMI

Key Views

  • Passenger vehicle sales will grow 5.6% in 2016.

  • Consequences from the Volkswagen emissions scandal will remain focused on Volkswagen only, and are unlikely to cause serious downturn in overall car demand.

  • A lack of investment in the infrastructure sector will hinder the commercial vehicle segment.

  • Vehicle production growth will slow marginally as emerging market growth remains weak.

BMI Industry View
7
Key Views
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020)
9
Latest Developments
9
Table: Latest Developments
9
Structural Trends
10
Passenger Vehicle Sales To Remain Strong in 2016
10
Commercial Vehicle Set To Grow Less Than Passenger Vehicles
12
Key risks: Discounts and Volkswagen Emissions Scandal Fall-Out
13
Production
14
Passenger Vehicles
18
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020)
18
Latest Developments
18
Table: Latest Developments
18
Key Players
18
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand
18
Commercial Vehicles
20
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020)
20
Latest Developments
20
Table: Latest Developments
20
Key Players
20
Table: Heavy Truck Sales By Brand*
20
Table: Bus Sales By Brand
21
Motorcycles
22
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020)
22
Latest Developments
22
Table: Latest Developments
22
Key Players
22
Table: Motorcycle Sales By Brand
22
Industry Risk/Reward Index
24
Italy And Spain Push To Join Peers
24
Central And Eastern Europe Labour Pressures Raise Risk
25
High-End Investment Reflects Top Ranking Status
25
Regional Overview
26
Industry Trend Analysis
26
Table: Western Europe - Autos Production Investment
26
Race For Electrified Premium Segment Begins
27
Sub-Contracting On The Rise
27
UK Powertrain Specialisation Increasing
28
Luxury Sports Production Expanding
28
French Brands Expanding Workforce
28
Demographic Forecast
29
Demographic Outlook
29
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025)
30
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025)
30
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025)
31
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025)
31
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025)
32
Methodology
34
Industry Forecasts
34
Sector-Specific Methodology
35
Sources
35
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
36
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
37

The Germany Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

BMI Research's Germany Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Germany.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the German automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the German automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Germany.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the autos sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end- 2019 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Sales and production of motorcycles in units; total production of units; production by vehicle type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total vehicle fleet size in units; sales by vehicle type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles; fleet size by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicles and motorcycles; total vehicle trade balance in units; vehicle trade balance by vehicle type, including passenger car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle; car ownership measured as car density per 1,000 people.

BMI’s Autos Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each indices explained.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2019 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company  developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country  investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Sources

The Autos reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as manufacturing associations, statistical bureaus, government transport ministries, national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.