Germany Food & Drink Report

Published 21 May 2015

  • 127 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
$1,295.00
Germany Food & Drink Report

BMI View: The German food and drink sector is mature and its growth prospects are closely tied to the strength of the overall economy. Considering our relatively modest GDP and private consumption growth outlook for the next several years, we have maintained our forecast for the food and drink sector and believe that total food consumption will expand by a compound annual growth rate of 3.6% between 2014 and 2019.

Key Forecasts (local currency)

  • Total food consumption growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2015: +4.0%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014-2019: +3.6%

  • Food consumption per capita growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +3.8%; CAGR 2014-2019: +3.5%

  • Total soft drinks sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +2.5%; CAGR 2014-2019: +3.0%

  • Alcoholic drinks sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +0.2%; CAGR 2014-2019: +0.5%

  • Total mass grocery retail sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +3.9%; CAGR 2014-2019: +4.5%

Key Company Trends

ArNoCo Begins Whey And Lactose Production: ArNoCo has started production of whey and lactose at a new unit in Nordhackstedt, Northern Germany. The company is a joint venture of Denmark-based dairy cooperative Arla Foods and Germany-based dairy manufacturer Deutsches Milchkontor (DMK). The facility will process whey produced from cheese processed by DMK and will supply whey protein concentrate and lactose to Arla Foods. ArNoCo can processes 700,000 tonnes of sweet unfermented whey annually into 12,000 tonnes of whey protein and 25,000 tonnes of lactose. The facility employs 40 staff. The facility's test processing runs started in late 2014, while production officially began in February 2015.

Edeka Appeals After Kaiser's Deal Blocked : In May 2015, Germany-based supermarket chain Edeka applied for special ministerial approval for its acquisition of retail group Tengelmann's grocery unit Kaiser's. Back in April, competition watchdog Bundeskartellamt stepped in to block the proposed acquisition due to competition concerns. 'We are convinced that the...

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food
9
Drink
11
Mass Grocery Retail
13
Industry Forecast
15
Consumer Outlook
15
Food
17
Food Consumption
17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
18
Confectionery
18
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
19
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables
20
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
22
Snack Foods
22
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
23
Pasta
25
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
26
Dairy
26
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
27
Meat
29
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Germany 2012-2019)
30
Fish
30
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Germany 2012-2019)
31
Oils & Fats
32
Table: Oils & Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Germany 2012-2019)
32
Drink
34
Soft Drinks
34
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Germany 2012-2019)
35
Alcoholic Drinks
37
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
38
Hot Drinks
39
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
40
Mass Grocery Retail
41
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
42
Trade
44
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
44
Macroeconomic Forecast
45
Economic Analysis
45
GDP By Expenditure
48
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Germany 2012-2019)
50
Industry Risk Reward Index
52
Western Europe - Risk/Reward Index
52
Table: Western Europe Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q315
53
Germany Risk/Reward Index
57
Market Overview
58
Food
58
Food Production
58
Organics
58
Dairy
59
Drink
60
Soft Drinks
60
Alcoholic Drinks
61
Mass Grocery Retail
62
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Germany 2006-2010)
63
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Germany 2010-2019)
63
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Germany 2010-2019)
64
Industry Trends And Developments
65
Food
65
Key Industry Trends And Developments
65
Drink
73
Key Industry Trends And Developments
73
Mass Grocery Retail
76
Key Industry Trends And Developments
76
Competitive Landscape
79
Table: Key Players In Germany's Food Sector
79
Table: Key Players In Germany's Drink Sector
80
Table: Key Players In Germany's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
81
Company Profile
83
Oetker Group
83
DMK
86
Haribo
89
Lieken Group
92
Refresco Gerber
94
Radeberger Group
96
AB InBev Germany
98
Lidl Group
101
Rewe Group
104
Global Industry Overview
107
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q115 Roundup
114
Demographic Forecast
116
Demographic Outlook
116
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025)
117
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025)
117
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025)
118
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025)
118
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025)
119
Glossary
121
Food & Drink
121
Mass Grocery Retail
121
Methodology
123
Industry Forecast Methodology
123
Sector-Specific Methodology
124
Sources
124
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
125
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
126
Table: Weighting
127

The Germany Food & Drink Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Germany Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Germany.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the German food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Germany through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Food Forecasts

BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat, fish, confectionary, dairy and canned foods, and provides insight into each market’s food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

  • Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.
  • Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
  • Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter, the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape

Illustration of the mass grocery retail and food and drink industries via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. This chapter also includes data-rich, in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the region’s leading mass grocery retail and food and drink operators.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Food & Drink reports draw on an extensive network primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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