Germany Mining Report

Published 02 March 2015

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Quarterly report providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the mining.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, Industry Forecasts, BMI's Petrochemicals Risk Reward Index, Economic Forecasts, Company Profiles and Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews.

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  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position

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Germany Mining Report
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BMI View: Germany's coal sector is one of the largest in Europe and is the main driver of mining activity in the country. Coal output continues to grow courtesy of strong demand for lignite used in the majority of the nation's power plants, however, the industry finds itself increasingly under threat from the rapid development of renewable energy production as well as growing opposition to fossil fuel-based energy production across the EU. These factors are likely to see the relative value of German mining gradually decline over the long-term.

Germany's mining sector is heavily focused around coal mining, with the country currently the largest producer of lignite, or brown coal, in the EU and boasting the eight highest annual output in global terms. Located primarily in the Rhineland region in Western Germany, the lignite mining industry remains a major employer. The industry's lobbying efforts and its obvious important to local employment have so far helped coal miners to withstand pressure from regional government and environmental groups to scale down their activities. Indeed, our forecasts point to continued, albeit moderate growth in German coal production over the next few years through to 2019. We project annual growth in output to average 0.4% year-on-year over 2015-2019.

Growth in coal production will support a modest increase in Germany's mining industry value over the period, with the sector set to increase its value from USD4.34bn in 2015 to USD4.99bn in 2019. However, the longer-term outlook for mining in the country looks less and less assured as the development of Germany's renewable energy sector reduces the need for fossil fuels. 2014 saw renewable sources, including wind and solar power replace lignite as the largest since contributor to power generation in the country, while the share of thermal, or hard coal also declines on a y-o-y basis. We expect the divergence between 'clean' and fossil fuel-based energy production to increase as the...

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BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Coal: Lignite Production Under Pressure
Down But Not Out
Playing Field Turning More Competitive
ETS Poses Long-Term Threat
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Germany 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Europe - Risk Reward Index
Poland Under Pressure
Finland Feeling The Heat
Table: Europe - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Tax Regime
Commodities Forecast
Table: BMI Thermal Coal Price Forecast
Table: Global - Select Coal Mining Projects
Table: Select Thermal Coal Contracts (USD/tonne)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Germany - Largest Listed Mining & Metals Companies
Company Profile
Table: Recylex - Key Financial Data
Table: RWE - Financial Results
Regional Overview
Russia To Drive Growth
Coal Industry Under Pressure
Rare Earths To Take Off
Tin To Return To The UK
Global Industry Overview
Global Overview
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

The Germany Mining Report has been researched at source and features BMI Research's mining and commodity forecasts for metals, minerals and gems, covering all major indicators including reserves, production, exports and values. The report also analyses trends and prospects, national and multinational companies and changes in the regulatory environment.

BMI's Germany Mining Report provides industry strategists, service companies, company analysts and consultants, government departments, trade associations and regulatory bodies with BMI's independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the mining industry in Germany.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts on Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in this mining market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Germany's mining sector through our reviews of latest mining industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Germany.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity), Key Projects Tables and Competitive Landscape Tables.


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key forecasts and industry analysis, covering mining reserves, supply, demand and prices, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.

Industry SWOT analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the mining sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2009-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

  • Mining industry: Industry size (USDmn), real growth (%), % of GDP, employment (‘000), workforce as % of total workforce, average wage (USD).
  • Output: Production volumes (‘000 tonnes, carats etc.) for all major metals, minerals, ores and gems mined in each state, including bauxite, copper, gold, coal, lead, silver, tin, titanium, uranium, zinc etc.
  • Exports: Value of exports (USDmn) for all major metals, minerals, ores and gems mined in each state.
  • Commodity markets: Global demand, supply, stocks and benchmark prices (USD) for aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, tin, zinc, gold and steel.

BMI’s Mining Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (mining companies and support service providers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Competitive Landscape Tables & Analysis

Comparative company analyses and tables detailing USD sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, market cap/NAV, ownership structure, production and % market share.

Key Projects

Details and analysis of all current and planned developments (new ventures, capacity expansion and other investments) across the sector broken down by metal/ore.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.


The Mining reports are based on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations (UN, WB, IMF), national chambers of commerce and industry, national statistical offices, government ministries and central banks, and multinational companies.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.