Germany Renewables Report

Published 27 March 2015

  • 46 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
Germany Renewables Report

BMI View: The German renewables industry is expected to continue with solid growth in the next quarter as well as in the ten-year forecast period. While we expect the reforms of the German Renewable Energies Law (EEG) to help reduce price levels, we do not foresee them to do so in a drastic measure and hence expect price levels to remain above its regional peers.

German's renewables expansion has been undeniably successful in terms of capacity growth over the last three years and the contribution renewables generation makes to the country's electricity mix. Focusing primarily on wind and solar power, the country has firmly established itself as the European bellwether for green energy. The government has established a target for electricity generation from renewable sources, aiming to expand renewables so that they contribute 35% to total electricity generation in the country by 2020, and 80% by 2050. The country was able to produce 27.3% of its electricity from renewable energy sources in 2014, up from 25% in 2013. At the same time, following two years of increasing carbon emissions, CO2 levels fell again in 2014. Moreover, in 2014 the wholesale price for power dropped to a record low of EUR33 per megawatt hour (MWh) from EUR38 in 2013, which enabled Germany to export more power than ever before.

Recent developments within the German renewables market include:

  • The Actionprogram Climate Protection announced in December 2014. The program will slash carbon emissions by between 62 mn and 78mn tons by 2020, of which 25 to 30mn tons will come by way of energy efficiency. It also signalled to the electricity sector to cut back an additional 22mn tons of carbon emissions by capping coal-fired power generation.

  • It was announced by the transmission system operators (TSOs) in October 2014 that the green energy surcharge will fall 1.1% in 2015 to EUR0.06.17/kilowatt hour (kWh) from EUR0.06.24/kWh in 2014. This is the first time it has decreased since it was...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Germany Renewables Forecast Scenario
Table: Germany Total Electricity Generation Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2017
Table: Germany Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
Table: Germany Electricity Generating Capacity, Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2017
Table: Germany Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
Germany Renewables Projects Database
Table: Germany - Renewables Projects
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
Germany Renewables Risk/Reward Ratings
Market Overview
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure
Targets (Renewables and Emissions)
Competitive Landscape
DONG Energy
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
Table: Weighting Indicators

The Germany Renewables Report researched at source contains BMI Research's assessment of the current renewables market in Germany. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Germany, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Germany, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's Germany Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Germany renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Germany renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Germany, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.

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'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc