Germany Telecommunications Report

Providing expert analysis, independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecommunications industry.

Report includes: BMI Industry View, Industry SWOT Analysis, BMI Industry Forecast Scenario, Telecommunications Risk Reward Index, Market Overview, Regulatory Environment, Company Profiles and Competitive

Why you should buy this report

  • Benefit from the latest market opportunities
  • Understand the threats to your operations and investments and protect your company against future risks
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Get a full view of the competitive landscape to assess your market position.
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Germany Telecommunications Report
Product Price
$1,295.00

BMI View : While organic growth is limited, there still remain strong opportunities to upgrade customers in the German telecoms market. On the mobile side, it means moving more customers onto postpaid, smartphones and LTE, through more advanced services and the development of convergence. Convergence will also drive the fixed market, helping to mitigate in the voice segment, while the broadband market will be helped by the roll-out of more advanced networks, such as VDSL, fibre and DOCSIS 3.0 , through consumer demand for streaming services. However, the outcome of the investigation launched by the European Commission on vectoring could have a negative impact on the development of more advanced infrastructure.

Opportunities In Premium Services
Selected Mobiile Operators Metrics, Q415
DT's smartphone penetration is postpaid only. Source: BMI, operators

Key Data

  • Mobile subscriptions ended 2015 at 113.825mn, up from 112.628mn in 2014 following the one-off loss through the O2/E-Plus merger.

  • ARPU levels stayed low in Germany, ranging from EUR105.5 to EUR15.3.

  • Advanced subscriptions are driving the market, with regulatory data (from 2014) highlighting that 46.3% of fixed voice subscriptions were VoIP, and 46.7% of mobile subscriptions were on 3G/4G.

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Telecoms SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
11
Latest Updates
11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2013-2020)
14
Industry Risk/Reward Index
15
Western Europe Risk/Reward Index
15
Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016
17
Industry Risk/Reward Index
18
Market Overview
20
Telecoms
20
Mobile Market
21
Wireline Voice and Broadband
33
Pay-TV and Convergence
39
Regulatory Development
42
Regulatory Overview
42
Roaming
43
Spectrum Auction
44
Table: June 2015 Spectrum Auction
44
Bitstream Pricing
44
Local Loop Unbundling Pricing
44
Vectoring
45
Competitive Landscape
46
Table: Key Players
46
Mobile Operators Data
46
Table: Deutsche Telekom
46
Table: Vodafone
47
Table: Telef-nica O2
48
Table: UPC
49
Table: Kabel Deutschland
49
Company Profile
51
Deutsche Telekom
51
Vodafone Germany
54
Telef-nica Deutschland
56
Demographic Forecast
59
Demographic Outlook
59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025)
60
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025)
60
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025)
61
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025)
61
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025)
62
Glossary
64
Table: Glossary Of Terms
64
Methodology
66
Industry Forecast Methodology
66
Sources
68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
68
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
70

The Germany Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Germany's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Germany Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Germany.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the German telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Germany's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Germany.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.