BMI View: The oil-producing African nation s draw a large portion of government revenues from petroleum exports , exposing them to the sharp decline in crude oil price in late 2014 and early 2015. BMI expects oil prices to remain depressed throughout our forecast period to 2019, with Nigeria to be among the most vulnerable markets to lower oil prices. This will weigh on public spending and private investment, including investments in new IT products and solutions.
Headline Expenditure Projections
Computer Hardware Sales: GHS1.027bn in 2015 to GHS1.2bn in 2016, +16.8% in local currency terms. The government's ambitious Basic Schools Computerisation project and e-governance initiative will be the main growth driver.
Software Sales: GHS220mn in 2015 to GHS268mn in 2016, 21.8% in local currency terms. The e-governance project will be a key growth factor.
IT Services Sales: GHS587mn in 2015 to GHS714mn in 2016, +21.6% in local currency terms. Strong investment into the budding hydrocarbon sector will boost the IT services market.
Computer Hardware Sales: KES38.091bn in 2015 to KES42.189bn in 2016, 10.8% in local currency terms, driven by growing adoption of IT solutions in the enterprise sector.
Software Sales: KES9.619bn in 2015 to KES10.754bn in 2016, +11.8% in local currency terms. The uptake of cloud-based software solutions will drive growth.
IT Services Sales: KES29.242bn in 2014 to KES29.78bn in 2016, +1.8% in local currency terms. Investment in business process outsourcing services will drive growth in 2015.
Computer Hardware Sales: NGN540.943bn in 2015 to NGN623.375bn in 2016, 15.2% in local currency terms. Strong private consumption will drive demand for laptops and tablet computers.
Software Sales: NGN124.070bn in 2015 to NGN152.903bn in 2016, +23.2% in local currency terms. Cloud-based software-as-as-service (SaaS) offerings will be a key growth driver.
IT Services Sales: NGN327.544bn in 2015 to KES399.901bn in 2016, +22.1%...
The Ghana, Kenya & Nigeria Information Technology Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering personal computers and software; semi-conductors, memory chips, integrated circuits and general components; the internet and IT solutions. It analyses analyses regulatory changes (licensing, customs and intellectual property protection) and competitive landscapes comparing IT companies by products, sales, market share, investments, projects and expansion strategies.
BMI's Ghana, Kenya & Nigeria Information Technology Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, IT associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the IT industry in Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya.
- Benchmark BMI's independent IT Industry forecasts for Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Nigerian, Ghanaian, Kenyan IT market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya's IT sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering IT, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the IT sector and within the broader telecommunications, political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecast
Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:
- IT Sector: Industry value (USDmn); IT sector contribution to GDP (%); value of hardware, software and services industry (USDmn); PC, peripherals and software imports and exports (USDmn); PC, peripherals and software sales (USDmn); number of PCs (‘000); PCs per 100 inhabitants; internet users (‘000); internet users per 100 inhabitants; broadband subscribers (‘000); broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants.
- Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (USDbn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against USD).
Information Technology Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide technology manufacturers, service providers, and IT vendors/leasing agents looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.
Country Market Overview
Structure, size and value of the industry sectors including hardware, software and services; overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments and government authority.
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators to end-2019 including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Full analysis of the competitive landscape within the hardware, software and services sectors.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
Cross-border analysis of country markets in the region, commenting on IT penetration (PC and internet) and market growth drivers (IT market size and IT market compound growth).
The information Technology Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.