Hong Kong Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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Hong Kong Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in Hong Kong with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Hong Kong with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Foreboding Outlook For 2016-17 As China Weighs
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
9
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
10
Restrained Budget Keeps Powder Dry
10
Structural Fiscal Position
12
External Trade And Investment Outlook
12
Current Account Steady Despite Trade Woes
12
Outlook On External Position
13
TABLE: TOP 5 GOOD EXPORTS 2015
13
TABLE: TOP 5 GOODS IMPORTS 2015
14
Monetary Policy
15
HKD Peg Sails Through Volatility, But Tail Risks Remain
15
Monetary Policy Framework
16
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
19
The Hong Kong Economy To 2025
19
Mainland Exposure A Double-Edged Sword
19
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
19
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
21
SWOT Analysis
21
BMI Political Risk Index
21
Domestic Politics
22
Gulf Between Government, Electorate Will Widen Further
22
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
22
Long-Term Political Outlook
23
Benign Outlook Despite Rising Social Difficulties
23
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
27
SWOT Analysis
27
Operational Risk Index
27
Operational Risk
28
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
28
Economic Openness
29
TABLE: TOP 5 TRADE PARTNERS - PRODUCT IMPORTS (2010- 2014), USDMN
30
TABLE: FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
32
Availability Of Labour
35
TABLE: ASIA - AVAILABILITY OF LABOUR RISK
36
TABLE: TOP 10 SOURCE COUNTRIES FOR MIGRANT WORKERS
38
TABLE: LABOUR FORCE EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR ('000), 2009-2012
39
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
41
Global Macro Outlook
41
Emerging Markets Nearing Inflexion Point
41
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
41
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
42
TABLE: BMI VERSUS BLOOMBERG CONSENSUS REAL GDP GROWTH FORECASTS, %
42
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
43
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
45