Hungary Insurance Report

Published 27 April 2015

  • 75 pages
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$1,295.00
Hungary Insurance Report

BMI View: Hungary ' s insurance market is neither especially large nor growing at a particularly fast rate. While the Hungarian economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace over 2015, concerns surrounding the health of the wider European economy look set to stymie demand for insurance coverage among both business and households. A shrinking population with a low average life expectancy presents a long-term challenge for insurers; however, we see growth opportunities emerging in some markets, including property insurance.

There are some markets in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) that can look forward to superior growth in premiums - and from a large base - through the forecast period. Hungary is not one of them. The country is a classic example of a fragmented market where excess capacity is causing prices to fall in the main sub-sectors of the non-life segment (namely property and motor vehicle insurance). A key metric is total penetration. This has been fairly constant at about 2.7% of GDP (which is not a high level) and is expected to remain broadly unchanged through the forecast period. Indeed, it appears that all the households and businesses that can afford life insurance (and who understand it) are already using it.

In the non-life segment, soft prices will constrain premiums growth in a fragmented marketplace. This is at a time that the near-stagnation of the wider European economy will continue to limit volumes growth. The motor vehicle insurance market is a prime example of this as the stagnation of the country's passenger car fleet is expected to cause insurance premiums to flat-line over the next few years. Given the cautious environment for both consumers and businesses in Hungary, it seems that what little growth impetus there is, is likely to be the result of capital inflows from overseas. An example of this is the country's real estate sector, where foreign investment is growing as investors look to take advantage of low borrowing costs and...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Insurance
9
Political
11
Economic
12
Business Environment
13
Industry Forecast
15
Total Premiums Forecast
15
Total Premiums
16
Table: Total Gross Premiums Written (Hungary 2011-2018)
16
Table: Total Net Premiums Written (Hungary 2011-2018)
17
Reinsurance Premiums
17
Table: Total Reinsurance Premiums Written (Hungary 2011-2018)
18
Claims
18
Table: Total Insurance Claims (Hungary 2006-2013)
18
Assets and Liabilities
19
Table: Total Insurance Assets (Hungary 2006-2013)
19
Life Premiums Forecast
20
Life Premiums
21
Table: Gross Life Premiums Written (Hungary 2011-2018)
21
Table: Net Life Premiums Written (Hungary 2011-2018)
22
Reinsurance Life Premiums
22
Table: Reinsurance Life Premiums Written (Hungary 2011-2018)
22
Life Insurance Claims
24
Table: Life Insurance Claims (Hungary 2006-2013)
24
Life Insurance Assets and Liabilities
24
Table: Assets (Hungary 2006-2013)
24
Life Insurance Drivers
25
Table: Insurance Key Drivers, Disease Adjusted Life Years (Hungary 2011-2018)
25
Table: Insurance Key Drivers, Private Health Expenditure (Hungary 2011-2018)
26
Non-Life Premiums Forecast
27
Non-Life Premiums
28
Table: Gross Non-Life Premiums Written (Hungary 2011-2018)
28
Table: Net Non-Life Premiums Written (Hungary 2011-2018)
29
Non-life Reinsurance
29
Table: Reinsurance Non-Life Premiums Written (Hungary 2011-2018)
29
Non-Life Claims
30
Table: Non-Life Insurance Claims (Hungary 2006-2013)
30
Non-Life Assets
31
Table: Assets (Hungary 2006-2013)
31
Non-Life Subsectors Forecast
32
Table: Non-Life % Breakdown (Hungary 2011-2018)
32
Motor and Transport Insurance
33
Table: Motor Vehicle Insurance (Hungary 2011-2018)
35
Table: Insurance Key Drivers, Autos (Hungary 2011-2018)
35
Table: Transport Insurance (Hungary 2011-2018)
36
Table: Insurance Key Drivers, Freight Tonnage (Hungary 2011-2018)
37
Property Insurance
37
Table: Property Insurance (Hungary 2011-2018)
38
Accident and Health Insurance
38
Table: Personal Accident Insurance (Hungary 2011-2018)
38
Table: Health Insurance (Hungary 2011-2018)
39
Liability and Credit Insurance
39
Table: General Liability Insurance (Hungary 2011-2018)
39
Table: Credit/Financial Guarantee Insurance (Hungary 2011-2018)
40
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
41
Central and Eastern European Risk/Reward Ratings
41
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings
42
Market Overview
43
Life Market Overview
43
Table: Life Insurance Market (US$mn) 2007-2013
45
Table: Life Insurance Market (%) 2007-2013
46
Non-Life Market Overview
47
Table: Non-Life Insurance Market (US$mn) 2007-2013
47
Table: Non-Life Insurance Market (%) 2007-2013
49
Company Profile
51
Allianz
51
ERGO
54
Generali
56
Groupama
60
UNIQA Group
62
Vienna Insurance Group (VIG)
65
Demographic Forecast
68
Table: Hungary's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
69
Table: Hungary's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
70
Table: Hungary's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
71
Table: Hungary's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
71
Methodology
72
Industry Forecast Methodology
72
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
75
Table: Indicators
77
Table: Weighting of Indicators
78

The Hungary Insurance Report has been researched at source and features BMI Research's independent assessment and forecasts for the insurance sector. It examines industry developments, key growth drivers and risk management projections, including the macroeconomic situation, government policy, regulatory environment and the level of development and potential for growth, broken down by line. Leading insurers are profiled, covering premiums, products and services and competitive positioning.

BMI's Hungary Insurance Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Hungarian insurance industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent insurance industry forecasts for Hungary to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in Hungary's insurance market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Hungary through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, investments and macroeconomic developments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the Life and Non-Life segments, the evolving competitive landscape and business operational risks.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the insurance sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2005-2014) and forecasts to end-2019 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

  • Life/non-life Premiums: Total premium growth (USDmn), premium growth (% y-o-y), penetration (% of GDP), density (USD per capita) for Life and Non-Life sectors, claims reinsurance, and assets and liabilities.
  • Non-life subsectors: Data on gross written premiums for all major Non-Life segments (motor, transport, property, personal accident, health, general liability and credit financial).

BMI’s Insurance Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (Life and Non-Life) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Growth Drivers & Risk Management Projections

Key data and forecasts to end-2019 focusing on the growth drivers and downside risks to specific insurance lines including:

  • Population: Male/female, by age group, active/pensionable/youth population % of total, urban/rural population % of total.
  • Freight: Tonnage – air freight, rail freight, road freight, inland waterway.
  • Motor: Fleet size by type of vehicle % change y-o-y.
  • Epidemiology: Disease Adjusted Life Years and private health expenditure.

Market Overview & Rankings

Illustration of the insurance industry via rankings tables comparing gross written premiums by company (USDmn) and market share (%) for the top 20 players in both Life and Non-Life. This chapter also includes in-depth regional analysis of the market position, business strategies and investment potential of the leading insurance companies.

Sources

The insurance Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc