India Country Risk Report

Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.

Report includes: BMI's Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, BMI's Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, Operational Risk Index, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections

Why you should buy this report

  • Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
  • Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
  • Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
  • Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
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India Country Risk Report
Product Price
$1,245.00

Assess your risk exposure in India with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in India with confidence.

Your subscription service includes:

  • Delivery of the report in print and PDF
  • Online access for 12 months
  • The functionality to translate your online report into your choice of 10 languages - Arabic, Chinese, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Russian and Spanish
  • The ability to export data and graphs from the online report directly into your workflow
  • The support of a dedicated Account Manager to answer any questions you might have about your subscription
  • Access to our team of leading analysts who will be happy to answer any questions you might have about the data and forecasts included in this report
Executive Summary
5
Core Views
5
Major Forecast Changes
5
Key Risks
5
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
7
SWOT Analysis
7
BMI Economic Risk Index
7
Economic Growth Outlook
8
Still Asia's Outperformer, But Headwinds Will Persist
8
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
9
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
9
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
10
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
10
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
10
Fiscal Policy And Public Debt Outlook
11
Key Challenges To Constructive Fiscal Outlook
11
TABLE: SEVENTH PAY COMMISSION: SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL IMPACT
11
Structural Fiscal Position
13
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
13
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
13
External Trade And Investment Outlook
14
FDI Supports External Finances Amid Risks To Trade Balance
14
Outlook On External Position
15
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECASTS
15
TABLE: MAIN EXPORT AND IMPORT PARTNERS
16
TABLE: MAIN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
16
TABLE: CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
16
Monetary Policy
17
Further Easing Still Likely Despite June Hold
17
Monetary Policy Framework
18
TABLE: MONETARY POLICY FORECASTS
18
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Currency Forecast
19
INR: Depreciation To Be Gradual Despite Global Uncertainty
19
TABLE: BMI CURRENCY FORECAST
19
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
23
The Indian Economy To 2025
23
Will Indian Growth Live Up To Expectations-
23
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
23
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
27
SWOT Analysis
27
BMI Political Risk Index
27
Domestic Politics
28
GST Reforms Likely To Get Under Way While Local Election Fever Heats Up
28
Long-Term Political Outlook
29
Gradual Reform To Prevail Over The Coming Decade
29
Chapter 4: Operational Risk
33
SWOT Analysis
33
Operational Risk Index
33
Operational Risk
34
TABLE: OPERATIONAL RISK
34
Market Size And Utilities
35
TABLE: ASIA - MARKET SIZE AND UTILITIES RISK
36
Labour Costs
39
TABLE: LABOUR REGULATIONS GOVERNING FLEXIBILITY OF WORKFORCE
40
Chapter 5: BMI Global Macro Outlook
43
Global Macro Outlook
43
Brexit Risk Casts A Long Shadow
43
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
43
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
44
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH, %
45
TABLE: MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
47